NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	8.2 [211]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +39.1%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	17.4 [48]		LVP	Jordan Hill (HOU): -30.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.13	-0.00	9	78%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.12	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	0.07	0.08	0.03	18	61%	0.21	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.05
Rudy Fernandez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	11	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.14	0.00	10	50%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.39	0.39	0.34	0.08	0.03	18	88%	0.48	4	-0.09	15	87%	0.12
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	7	44%	-0.06	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.15	0.01	8	33%	-0.10	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.02	-0.29	0.00	9	43%	-0.16	1	-0.14	3	33%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.6	30.4	15.7	24.2	2.4	39.3	136.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.5%

HOU -23.7%

HOU -22.9%

POR +45.8%

POR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.5	112.0	107.5	105.7
season	16.5	15.2		106.7	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.8	16.3	17.2	16.9	16.8
HOU	14.5	13.2	14.1	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	56	56	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-9	21	16.7	16.8	-0.08	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Dante Cunningham	53	52	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.45	10	-7	17	17.0	16.5	0.51	14.5	14.2	0.35
Nicolas Batum	73	73	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-6	15	16.4	18.2	-1.73	14.7	13.1	1.61
Patty Mills	53	53	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-7	17	17.5	15.9	1.58	14.8	13.8	0.95
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.45	5	-2	7	16.6	17.3	-0.75	14.8	12.8	2.03
Marcus Camby	48	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	16.2	17.5	-1.29	14.5	14.2	0.28
Andre Miller	37	39	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	9	-15	16.7	16.8	-0.13	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Joel Przybilla	14	14	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	11	-19	19.0	16.4	2.62	11.8	14.8	-3.04
Wesley Matthews	57	59	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.05	-15	18	-33	16.7	16.9	-0.21	13.6	15.8	-2.21

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-2	1	13.2	14.6	-1.41	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Shane Battier	62	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.40	8	-11	19	14.4	14.3	0.11	16.7	16.9	-0.17
Kevin Martin	75	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-9	15	14.4	14.3	0.11	17.0	16.1	0.85
Patrick Patterson	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	4	-11	14.3	14.4	-0.05	16.8	16.8	0.02
Courtney Lee	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	5	-13	13.4	14.8	-1.38	16.8	16.8	0.02
Jordan Hill	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-9	15	14.5	14.2	0.33	16.9	16.5	0.39
Chase Budinger	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	4	-11	14.2	14.4	-0.29	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Brad Miller	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	4	-11	13.6	14.7	-1.18	15.3	17.5	-2.20
Luis Scola	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-6	9	14.4	14.2	0.29	16.8	16.6	0.20
Kyle Lowry	75	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	5	-13	14.8	12.6	2.24	17.2	15.3	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.73,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.32,0.64,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.29,0	90.4%
CHA 90, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.68,0.74,0	90.4%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	89.4%