inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 87 Excitement6.4 [554] MVPEarl Boykins (MIL): +19.7%
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Comeback1.4 [583] LVPCorey Maggette (MIL): -12.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.160.120.050.012160%0.212-0.066100%0.04
Tyson Chandler0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.050.08-0.010.01585%0.091-0.043100%0.01
Steve Novak0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000100%0.051-0.052100%0.02
Jason Kidd-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011254%0.073-0.102100%0.02
Alexis Ajinca-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.040,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.01642%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00117%-0.0400.00425%-0.06
DeShawn Stevenson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00942%-0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Brian Cardinal-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.070.00644%-0.051-0.034100%0.02
Jason Terry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.15-0.01-0.051523%-0.052-0.0600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.080.09-0.021665%0.283-0.09887%0.03
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.040.011566%0.182-0.07250%-0.02
Jon Brockman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.080.03-0.06944%0.104-0.0900%0.00
Brian Skinner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.011157%0.062-0.066100%0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00643%-0.0200.0020%-0.05
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.010.02747%-0.041-0.0210%-0.02
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.00745%-0.014-0.11683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.530.515.628.02.431.3133.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +41.2%
DAL -6.7%
MIL +22.2%
DAL -11.0%
MIL +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMILNBADALMILNBA
this game14.415.615.590.6103.1105.7
season15.716.2108.5100.1
opponent15.415.7100.9103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.214.712.414.114.4
MIL13.116.615.817.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood19200.01-0.510.520.010-121214.114.4-0.3814.416.0-1.51
Caron Butler1918-0.05-0.450.390.04-3-9617.013.73.3013.116.2-3.12
Jose Juan Barea7070-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-9613.915.7-1.8416.314.02.26
Ian Mahinmi109-0.17-0.330.15-0.12-2-10813.914.4-0.5116.215.60.64
Alexis Ajinca1314-0.20-0.300.110.07-9-3-614.614.30.3014.915.8-0.92
Brian Cardinal6766-0.21-0.290.09-0.324-162014.913.11.7415.815.20.65
Steve Novak1517-0.21-0.290.080.14-120-1214.514.30.2115.115.8-0.64
DeShawn Stevenson6057-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-121214.214.6-0.4615.815.40.48
Tyson Chandler6767-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-10-2-814.514.00.5115.915.00.93
Jason Kidd7778-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-3-614.115.6-1.5315.416.7-1.32
Jason Terry6364-0.540.04-0.58-0.07-164-2014.015.1-1.0815.915.10.83

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bogut74720.69-0.190.890.1419-72615.316.9-1.6414.713.21.53
Keyon Dooling60590.54-0.040.590.221111016.214.71.4814.414.30.05
Earl Boykins67680.480.020.450.0714-21615.515.9-0.4113.616.1-2.42
John Salmons84840.370.130.240.1775215.615.7-0.0214.017.2-3.21
Corey Maggette41430.290.210.080.0875215.715.60.0214.414.30.12
Ersan Ilyasova74720.200.30-0.10-0.0484415.516.0-0.5214.214.8-0.58
Jon Brockman18190.100.40-0.290.0239-616.315.50.7814.814.20.61
Chris Douglas-Roberts30290.100.40-0.300.04210-816.115.40.7115.214.01.27
Luc Mbah a Moute2324-0.010.51-0.520.05-214-1614.715.9-1.2516.713.63.19
Brian Skinner910-0.270.77-1.04-0.00-921-3016.415.60.8811.214.7-3.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 96, PHI 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,193.4%
CLE 85, IND 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,193.4%
LAL 89, MIA 1020.5,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,192.9%