NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	6.7 [496]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +24.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.9 [806]		LVP	Rafer Alston (TOR): -18.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	15	59%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	15	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Matt Bonner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	14	37%	-0.09	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.11	-0.02	10	75%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.01	16	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	71%	0.12	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	17	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	29	47%	-0.00	4	-0.10	10	50%	-0.04
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	29.0	15.5	25.6	2.4	28.6	125.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.0%

TOR -8.4%

PHI +7.2%

PHI +3.8%

TOR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	13.4	15.5	96.0	103.9	104.0
season	15.1	13.9		104.8	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.4		101.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	15.0	15.6	16.0	15.1
PHI	12.2	13.2	14.4	14.0	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafael Araujo	19	21	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-15	20	15.3	15.1	0.24	14.8	13.0	1.76
Eric Williams	64	65	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-17	24	15.0	15.4	-0.46	13.7	12.9	0.86
Rafer Alston	71	73	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-16	22	14.4	16.8	-2.41	14.0	12.0	1.97
Lamond Murray	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-9	8	15.9	15.0	0.86	11.2	13.8	-2.55
Matt Bonner	21	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-6	2	16.0	14.9	1.05	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Donyell Marshall	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	2	-14	15.2	15.0	0.16	12.5	14.7	-2.25
Chris Bosh	92	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	1	-12	15.1	15.5	-0.41	13.6	10.6	3.02
Morris Peterson	84	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	1	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.97	13.9	10.9	2.93
Milt Palacio	29	29	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.12	-16	6	-22	16.8	14.4	2.41	12.0	14.0	-1.97
Jalen Rose	47	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.23	-13	3	-16	14.9	15.3	-0.35	12.9	13.9	-0.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	60	60	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-5	20	13.7	13.0	0.70	14.9	15.4	-0.42
Allen Iverson	102	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	13.4	0.0	13.41	15.1	0.0	15.12
Corliss Williamson	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	12.9	14.2	-1.27	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Andre Iguodala	81	82	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	4	2	13.2	14.0	-0.80	15.4	14.1	1.30
Kenny Thomas	73	72	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	9	-8	13.8	12.3	1.54	15.5	14.2	1.31
Brian Skinner	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	2	6	11.6	14.1	-2.54	14.7	15.3	-0.51
John Salmons	51	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	10	-10	12.8	14.0	-1.18	15.2	15.1	0.13
Aaron McKie	16	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	10	-10	16.4	12.9	3.51	13.5	15.4	-1.88
Marc Jackson	38	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	14.2	13.0	1.23	15.2	15.1	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 78, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SEA 86, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
DAL 87, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.4%