NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	6.9 [445]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +26.7%
Denver Nuggets	89		Comeback	17.2 [59]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): -11.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.14	0.01	12	71%	0.30	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.09	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.03	-0.02	12	26%	-0.07	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.17
Andres Nocioni	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	7	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	10	86%	0.17	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	76%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	47%	0.00	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	14	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	29.0	15.6	29.2	1.8	41.2	141.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.2%

DEN -10.4%

PHI +29.2%

PHI +21.7%

DEN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.5	102.2	96.7	105.7
season	15.5	14.3		104.6	110.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	14.1	17.3	15.3	16.0
DEN	15.3	15.3	14.0	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	74	73	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.34	23	-17	40	15.9	16.1	-0.17	16.4	10.4	6.04
Jodie Meeks	65	62	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.33	20	-14	34	15.5	17.1	-1.68	15.8	13.8	1.97
Thaddeus Young	60	60	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-9	24	14.5	18.7	-4.18	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Andre Iguodala	77	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	0	6	15.9	16.3	-0.42	15.4	14.2	1.21
Jrue Holiday	48	50	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-3	12	16.4	15.5	0.84	15.4	14.9	0.52
Tony Battie	17	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	11	-16	18.1	15.5	2.63	13.1	15.7	-2.62
Evan Turner	56	55	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	15	-24	15.5	16.6	-1.09	14.1	16.7	-2.62
Spencer Hawes	38	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.10	-14	20	-34	17.8	14.7	3.04	14.8	15.4	-0.54
Andres Nocioni	30	30	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.11	-15	21	-36	17.0	15.5	1.47	13.7	15.9	-2.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Forbes	29	28	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.25	1	-7	8	13.4	16.0	-2.60	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Chris Andersen	39	37	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-12	18	13.9	16.1	-2.24	15.5	16.3	-0.75
J.R. Smith	72	73	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.08	2	-8	10	14.2	18.7	-4.58	16.5	13.8	2.70
Al Harrington	9	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-9	12	16.3	15.0	1.30	13.7	16.2	-2.55
Shelden Williams	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	13.9	15.4	-1.44	13.8	16.3	-2.47
Arron Afflalo	66	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	15.2	15.0	0.28	16.4	14.6	1.81
Kenyon Martin	33	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.41	-2	-4	2	17.1	14.1	3.01	17.7	15.0	2.74
Ty Lawson	65	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	7	-20	15.0	15.4	-0.40	14.9	18.4	-3.47
Chauncey Billups	67	68	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.56	-7	1	-8	16.0	12.8	3.19	16.0	15.9	0.07
Nene	67	69	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.51	-15	9	-24	16.1	12.8	3.30	16.2	15.4	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.72,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.67,0.55,0.36,0.25,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.26,0	92.3%
NOH 94, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	90.3%
LAL 100, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.28,0	89.9%