NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	5.5 [742]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +13.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	2.2 [757]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -21.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	7	94%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	16	47%	0.07	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.03
Randy Foye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	18	38%	-0.13	5	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	0.03	0.08	10	87%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	20	59%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	48%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	43%	0.04	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	26%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	18	40%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.3	30.0	16.0	30.1	2.7	28.2	140.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +10.6%

PHI +19.7%

LAC -12.3%

PHI +32.2%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.5	15.5	98.9	116.7	105.7
season	15.4	15.5		104.4	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	15.2	17.7	15.1	15.1
PHI	14.2	17.5	15.0	20.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	50	51	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.16	-1	-13	12	13.9	16.5	-2.63	18.0	14.6	3.40
Jarron Collins	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	9.0	15.4	-6.40	23.0	16.2	6.76
DeAndre Jordan	67	66	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	14.7	16.3	-1.59	17.1	15.0	2.05
Rasual Butler	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-16	18	14.5	15.5	-1.04	17.0	16.3	0.76
Randy Foye	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-14	14	14.7	15.2	-0.47	14.3	16.8	-2.46
Ryan Gomes	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-8	2	14.0	16.8	-2.77	16.9	15.9	1.06
Al-Farouq Aminu	28	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-11	8	15.6	14.9	0.70	17.2	16.2	0.97
Blake Griffin	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	3	-20	15.2	14.7	0.45	16.4	17.0	-0.55
Brian Cook	32	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-2	-10	16.1	14.6	1.45	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Eric Bledsoe	32	29	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	1	-16	17.1	14.0	3.07	15.1	17.2	-2.08
Eric Gordon	72	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.05	-23	9	-32	16.3	10.8	5.52	15.0	22.2	-7.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	77	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.07	24	-10	34	15.8	21.1	-5.30	15.5	12.7	2.73
Jodie Meeks	63	65	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-3	20	16.1	17.6	-1.55	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Elton Brand	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.11	16	-2	18	17.0	15.2	1.80	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Spencer Hawes	65	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	9	-4	16.0	18.0	-2.02	15.0	15.4	-0.35
Thaddeus Young	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	10	-6	17.1	16.0	1.09	15.2	15.1	0.11
Lou Williams	38	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	15	-16	17.8	15.6	2.20	15.2	15.1	0.14
Jrue Holiday	73	73	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	6	2	16.8	15.6	1.18	15.3	14.4	0.95
Tony Battie	2	3	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	11	-8	7.5	16.7	-9.25	20.3	14.9	5.39
Evan Turner	19	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	20	-26	17.8	16.2	1.58	13.7	15.5	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 108, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 88, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.1%