NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	88		Excitement	5.6 [721]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): +13.1%
Brooklyn Nets	97		Comeback	2.0 [960]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BKN): -16.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	67%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	8	78%	0.10	6	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	7	21%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	12	77%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.02	-0.05	13	61%	0.15	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	71%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.07	11	33%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	27.7	15.5	28.3	2.4	29.6	128.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +32.0%

ORL -0.3%

BKN +16.8%

ORL -0.8%

BKN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.1	96.7	104.3	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		100.4	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.7	17.5	16.4	15.1	16.1
BKN	13.1	17.6	14.3	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	41	41	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-11	13	17.1	15.3	1.73	14.3	15.9	-1.52
Dewayne Dedmon	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-11	13	15.9	16.3	-0.44	14.2	15.9	-1.70
Ronnie Price	42	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-13	17	14.9	17.2	-2.35	16.8	13.8	2.97
Kyle O'Quinn	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.2	15.1	2.14	13.9	16.4	-2.52
E'Twaun Moore	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-9	9	15.0	17.3	-2.35	16.5	13.8	2.71
Tobias Harris	50	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-7	5	14.9	17.7	-2.80	16.2	13.9	2.23
Maurice Harkless	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	0	-9	17.3	15.0	2.35	13.8	16.5	-2.71
Victor Oladipo	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	4	-17	17.2	14.9	2.35	13.8	16.8	-2.97
Andrew Nicholson	48	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	4	-17	16.6	15.6	1.07	16.2	14.2	2.01
Doron Lamb	50	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	2	-13	15.3	17.1	-1.73	15.9	14.3	1.52

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	49	48	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-8	25	15.6	14.8	0.80	16.7	15.4	1.33
Joe Johnson	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-9	27	14.0	18.1	-4.16	16.3	15.7	0.55
Mirza Teletovic	54	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	2	5	16.6	13.3	3.34	15.8	16.6	-0.83
Deron Williams	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-7	23	14.4	17.2	-2.80	16.4	15.2	1.18
Jorge Gutierrez	37	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	7	-5	15.9	14.7	1.16	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Marcus Thornton	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	9	-9	17.0	13.7	3.27	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Kevin Garnett	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	4	1	13.9	16.1	-2.24	16.2	16.1	0.06
Paul Pierce	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	13.3	16.6	-3.34	16.6	15.8	0.83
Jason Collins	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.0	15.2	-0.20	5.5	16.4	-10.86
Marquis Teague	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.0	15.2	-0.20	5.5	16.4	-10.86
Andrei Kirilenko	53	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	16	-23	15.8	14.3	1.52	16.4	15.7	0.66
Andray Blatche	12	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	16	-23	17.5	14.9	2.65	17.9	15.8	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
LAL 96, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 102, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%