NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	6.9 [444]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +27.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Comeback	5.2 [153]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -20.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.19	0.14	0.06	15	76%	0.35	3	-0.08	15	93%	0.08
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	65%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.07	0.00	12	33%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.07	0.03	20	70%	0.28	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	10	48%	0.12	1	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.02	13	63%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.08	0.03	13	41%	-0.13	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	31.8	15.7	24.3	2.7	31.2	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +12.0%

DAL +22.1%

DAL +7.9%

DAL +10.2%

OKC -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.0	15.5	115.6	108.4	105.7
season	15.7	15.0		108.5	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	15.9	16.2	16.2	16.2
OKC	13.0	14.8	13.8	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-6	20	16.7	14.8	1.86	13.4	15.6	-2.15
Tyson Chandler	70	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-8	24	16.2	16.0	0.23	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Dirk Nowitzki	80	80	0.66	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-5	18	15.6	19.1	-3.47	13.9	14.3	-0.34
Shawn Marion	39	38	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-2	12	16.3	16.1	0.15	14.6	13.6	1.04
Jason Terry	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	6	-4	16.1	16.2	-0.12	14.3	13.5	0.84
DeShawn Stevenson	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	3	2	16.5	16.0	0.47	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Brian Cardinal	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	12	-16	15.2	16.3	-1.15	14.9	13.8	1.11
Caron Butler	58	58	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	11	-14	17.2	14.7	2.50	13.4	14.9	-1.45
Jose Juan Barea	30	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	13	-18	14.7	16.8	-2.08	15.3	13.4	1.97
Brendan Haywood	26	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	16	-24	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.6	13.8	0.79

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	32	33	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-15	22	15.2	13.3	1.92	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Nenad Krstic	42	42	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-13	18	11.7	15.8	-4.02	16.1	16.2	-0.04
Eric Maynor	21	23	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-10	12	17.1	13.1	4.00	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Kevin Durant	79	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	13.2	17.9	-4.76	16.3	15.5	0.78
Thabo Sefolosha	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	1	-10	13.3	15.1	-1.80	16.7	15.4	1.23
Nick Collison	40	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	15.3	13.0	2.37	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Serge Ibaka	44	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	3	-14	16.0	12.2	3.76	15.9	16.4	-0.43
Russell Westbrook	74	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	2	-12	13.1	17.1	-4.00	16.5	15.0	1.53
Jeff Green	83	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.23	-16	8	-24	14.1	12.9	1.22	16.2	15.7	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.4,0.31,0.14,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, SEA 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.4%
MIN 98, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.11,0,0,0	92.6%
CHI 91, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.03,0,0	91.8%