NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	3.0 [1205]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +9.0%
Toronto Raptors	106		Comeback	1.0 [1102]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): -6.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Craig Brackins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	11	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	81%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	16	60%	0.12	5	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	63%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	0.3	28.8	15.8	28.5	2.7	27.4	127.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.8%

TOR +6.1%

TOR +3.7%

TOR +6.2%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.5	94.7	114.0	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		104.6	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	15.0	14.8	14.0	14.9
TOR	14.4	15.6	14.6	18.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-16	16	18.6	14.5	4.08	15.6	15.8	-0.25
Craig Brackins	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-15	14	17.7	14.1	3.66	12.8	16.6	-3.74
Evan Turner	32	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-14	12	14.7	14.9	-0.17	16.8	15.3	1.52
Thaddeus Young	57	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-13	10	13.8	16.5	-2.77	17.3	13.6	3.73
Marreese Speights	39	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-10	4	14.5	15.1	-0.59	16.0	15.6	0.31
Andres Nocioni	26	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-8	0	15.3	14.7	0.56	12.7	17.0	-4.29
Jrue Holiday	65	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-14	12	14.1	16.6	-2.49	16.4	14.4	1.99
Spencer Hawes	38	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-2	-12	14.2	15.3	-1.18	17.3	14.9	2.33
Lou Williams	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-5	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.25	16.2	15.2	0.97
Jodie Meeks	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.15	-17	1	-18	16.5	13.2	3.35	13.4	18.2	-4.86
Andre Iguodala	88	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	0	-16	14.6	17.6	-2.92	16.0	12.3	3.69

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	66	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	-5	26	16.1	15.1	1.00	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Sonny Weems	68	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	-2	20	16.0	15.2	0.80	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Jose Calderon	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-1	18	16.9	13.7	3.19	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Andrea Bargnani	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	7	2	16.8	13.7	3.13	14.7	15.1	-0.35
Leandro Barbosa	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	6	4	15.0	16.9	-1.97	15.0	14.6	0.37
Amir Johnson	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	10	-4	13.3	18.1	-4.79	16.2	13.7	2.46
DeMar DeRozan	41	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	10	-4	17.0	14.8	2.17	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Jerryd Bayless	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	17	-18	13.3	17.0	-3.62	16.5	14.0	2.50
Linas Kleiza	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	18	-20	15.2	16.0	-0.80	16.3	14.4	1.92
Peja Stojakovic	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	20	-24	18.2	15.4	2.73	12.5	15.2	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	97.1%
MIL 77, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
UTA 96, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%