NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	2.5 [1250]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +17.7%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.1 [1280]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -6.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	13	78%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	11	58%	0.03	4	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	79%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.00	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Alec Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	22	46%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.00	0.02	26	65%	0.18	3	-0.01	11	91%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	0.00	0.09	8	94%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.11	14	61%	0.13	7	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.0	30.4	13.8	26.9	3.0	32.0	133.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.9%

HOU +6.7%

HOU +6.8%

HOU +7.6%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.6	16.2	14.7	98.0	114.6	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.6	112.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	13.6	11.9	12.6	13.6
HOU	13.8	17.7	16.9	16.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	13.0	13.6	-0.57	10.3	16.3	-6.01
Raul Neto	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-22	30	10.7	14.2	-3.55	15.7	16.3	-0.53
Alec Burks	37	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-18	22	11.6	14.7	-3.07	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Jonas Jerebko	12	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-4	-6	13.4	13.6	-0.16	17.8	15.9	1.88
Dante Exum	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-7	0	11.7	14.5	-2.74	16.5	16.0	0.45
Royce O'Neale	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-9	4	14.5	12.3	2.23	16.0	16.4	-0.46
Derrick Favors	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-3	-8	13.4	13.8	-0.38	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Jae Crowder	68	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-7	0	13.3	14.2	-0.97	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Joe Ingles	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	13.7	13.2	0.54	16.6	15.1	1.52
Rudy Gobert	69	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-1	-12	14.8	10.6	4.18	16.7	15.1	1.58
Donovan Mitchell	78	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	1	-16	14.4	10.4	3.97	16.4	15.2	1.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	64	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	2	10	16.5	15.5	1.03	13.6	13.5	0.14
James Harden	69	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-1	16	16.8	14.5	2.33	14.5	11.1	3.33
Trevor Ariza	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	0	14	16.1	16.2	-0.02	14.4	11.7	2.71
PJ Tucker	68	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	0	14	16.4	15.6	0.78	14.2	11.9	2.34
Clint Capela	68	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	4	6	16.7	14.9	1.73	14.6	11.0	3.59
Eric Gordon	62	65	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	15	-16	15.8	16.8	-0.94	12.3	16.1	-3.81
Luc Mbah a Moute	43	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	15	-16	15.7	16.5	-0.83	11.7	15.1	-3.38
Ryan Anderson	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	14	-14	15.9	16.2	-0.38	10.6	14.4	-3.74
Nene	9	9	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	10	-6	14.2	16.4	-2.13	12.1	13.7	-1.60
Aaron Jackson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	10.3	16.3	-6.01	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Gerald Green	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	10.3	16.3	-6.01	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Tarik Black	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	10.3	16.3	-6.01	13.0	13.6	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
TOR 89, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 71, TOR 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%