NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	77		Excitement	2.4 [1261]		MVP	James Jones (MIA): +6.9%
Miami Heat	96		Comeback	1.0 [1304]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -9.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	63%	0.06	5	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
DJ Stephens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	11	48%	-0.02	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	10	20%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	13	58%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.06	8	82%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	59%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	31.5	16.4	21.7	1.8	24.2	121.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +39.3%

MIL -0.4%

MIL -3.8%

MIA +15.6%

MIL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIA	NBA	MIL	MIA	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.1	90.6	110.3	105.2
season	15.7	15.6		101.4	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.1		105.1	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.2	17.3	15.8	17.5	17.2
MIA	13.1	17.0	18.5	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Stephens	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	15.2	17.3	-2.07	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Miroslav Raduljica	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-27	35	14.6	17.6	-2.97	15.5	16.4	-0.94
Giannis Antetokounmpo	38	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-13	7	17.5	17.0	0.55	16.7	15.9	0.82
Ekpe Udoh	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.19	-12	-7	-5	19.1	16.3	2.82	16.3	16.3	-0.02
John Henson	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	0	-19	19.1	16.4	2.73	16.6	16.1	0.48
Jeff Adrien	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-18	17	16.2	20.0	-3.81	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	45	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-5	-9	17.0	17.5	-0.52	16.3	16.2	0.05
Khris Middleton	58	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	-4	-11	17.3	17.1	0.11	15.9	17.0	-1.12
Ramon Sessions	80	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-6	-7	17.1	18.6	-1.46	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Brandon Knight	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.30	-27	8	-35	17.2	17.1	0.14	16.4	15.6	0.80

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	1	17	15.1	18.2	-3.12	17.1	17.4	-0.24
Chris Bosh	49	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	6	7	15.9	16.7	-0.82	17.0	17.5	-0.55
Toney Douglas	49	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	6	7	15.9	16.7	-0.82	17.0	17.5	-0.55
Udonis Haslem	47	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	7	5	15.4	17.3	-1.94	16.9	17.5	-0.62
James Jones	45	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	2	15	16.7	15.8	0.95	17.8	16.6	1.24
Mario Chalmers	59	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	11	-3	16.8	15.2	1.51	17.4	16.9	0.49
Norris Cole	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	10	-1	17.2	15.3	1.89	17.4	17.0	0.34
Chris Andersen	29	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	4	11	18.0	15.4	2.64	18.5	16.5	2.02
Rashard Lewis	27	28	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.25	14	5	9	17.3	15.8	1.43	18.6	16.6	2.01
Shane Battier	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	27	-35	15.5	16.4	-0.94	14.6	17.6	-2.97
Justin Hamilton	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	27	-35	15.5	16.4	-0.94	14.6	17.6	-2.97
Michael Beasley	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	27	-35	15.5	16.4	-0.94	14.6	17.6	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 69, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
CHA 93, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 76, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%