inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 93 Excitement3.1 [1182] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +10.4%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback1.0 [979] LVPPrimoz Brezec (CHA): -3.5%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Emeka Okafor0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.100.000.051366%0.071-0.02333%-0.02
Jeff McInnis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.031458%0.053-0.06560%-0.01
Walter Herrmann-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jake Voskuhl-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Raymond Felton-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.011362%0.076-0.09683%0.01
Matt Carroll-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.011146%0.012-0.046100%0.01
Adam Morrison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.02945%0.023-0.05250%-0.01
Primoz Brezec-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.00-0.011465%0.121-0.02633%-0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021761%0.134-0.061070%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.01868%0.071-0.013100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.00667%0.051-0.0030%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.01675%0.051-0.02450%-0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.00864%0.062-0.03667%-0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02462%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.032100%0.001-0.0110%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.830.214.726.51.731.3131.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +38.6%
CHA -1.5%
MIA +1.0%
MIA +11.3%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game15.616.615.4104.5125.6104.5
season15.716.0101.7102.4
opponent15.615.0104.3105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA18.014.215.315.015.6
MIA16.315.816.018.516.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter Herrmann2930-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-181614.915.9-0.9418.715.63.08
Primoz Brezec3638-0.16-0.340.180.05-7-13615.115.9-0.8015.617.4-1.79
Adam Morrison3636-0.17-0.330.160.12-10-10015.915.30.6017.416.11.25
Jake Voskuhl2931-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-161214.216.2-2.0117.616.11.53
Jeff McInnis4141-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-181616.115.11.0418.315.23.09
Matt Carroll6162-0.34-0.16-0.180.16-17-3-1415.815.10.6616.117.8-1.76
Raymond Felton6769-0.40-0.10-0.290.19-200-2015.715.00.7515.819.2-3.36
Emeka Okafor7472-0.45-0.05-0.390.08-18-2-1615.515.7-0.2116.616.8-0.21
Gerald Wallace7271-0.48-0.02-0.470.10-200-2015.814.61.2015.819.7-3.90

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade74750.52-0.020.54-0.2727-73415.621.3-5.7215.714.90.84
Jason Kapono63630.380.120.26-0.2622-22415.818.6-2.8316.014.51.50
Udonis Haslem51510.350.150.19-0.3323-32615.617.9-2.3216.414.41.94
Chris Quinn69660.270.230.030.03812-416.915.61.2914.917.4-2.53
Shaquille O'Neal39400.260.240.01-0.07119217.416.01.3215.415.7-0.20
Alonzo Mourning44430.240.26-0.010.07614-815.817.4-1.5515.315.8-0.41
James Posey42410.220.28-0.060.16218-1617.515.81.7615.815.40.36
Antoine Walker39380.150.35-0.190.24-323-2617.915.62.3214.416.4-1.94
Eddie Jones22220.110.39-0.270.08119-1819.715.64.1215.515.6-0.14
Michael Doleac760.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1417.416.50.8917.815.42.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 77, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CHA 79, TOR 980.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
POR 93, OKC 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,197.1%