NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	79		Excitement	2.8 [1205]		MVP	Joey Graham (TOR): +6.2%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.0 [885]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -9.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	14	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	13	53%	0.00	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	17	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	8	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	81%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	10	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.12	7	77%	0.00	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	25.4	15.6	25.3	2.6	28.0	125.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.2%

CHA -2.1%

TOR +2.3%

CHA -1.8%

TOR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.5	17.0	15.4	95.2	116.7	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.1	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.8	19.2	16.4	15.8	17.5
TOR	13.9	18.7	15.6	20.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter Herrmann	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	11.8	17.9	-6.11	19.2	16.8	2.39
Primoz Brezec	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-17	15	21.7	17.2	4.45	13.8	17.2	-3.36
Derek Anderson	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-19	19	15.9	18.4	-2.48	16.0	17.5	-1.45
Othella Harrington	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-12	5	18.7	17.4	1.37	14.5	17.4	-2.86
Matt Carroll	43	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-11	3	16.1	19.1	-2.96	17.1	16.8	0.25
Jeff McInnis	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-11	3	17.3	18.0	-0.66	17.6	15.9	1.69
Emeka Okafor	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-11	3	17.5	17.6	-0.15	16.7	17.1	-0.40
Raymond Felton	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-10	1	18.3	17.0	1.35	17.2	16.8	0.42
Jason Richardson	62	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-7	-5	17.9	16.5	1.43	17.5	15.4	2.10
Jared Dudley	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-4	-11	17.6	17.4	0.20	17.0	16.7	0.35
Gerald Wallace	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.26	-27	8	-35	18.5	13.4	5.06	16.8	17.7	-0.95

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-1	21	16.9	17.3	-0.42	17.5	17.6	-0.05
Carlos Delfino	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	3	13	18.0	14.6	3.44	17.4	17.8	-0.33
Anthony Parker	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	7	5	15.7	18.3	-2.67	18.4	16.6	1.87
Jose Calderon	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	6	7	16.0	19.6	-3.60	17.7	17.2	0.45
Rasho Nesterovic	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	11	-3	16.5	17.3	-0.80	19.6	16.0	3.61
Kris Humphries	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	7	5	16.1	17.7	-1.67	16.0	18.8	-2.84
Darrick Martin	23	23	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	13	-7	19.6	16.0	3.60	17.2	17.7	-0.45
Jason Kapono	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	14	-9	18.2	15.7	2.52	16.6	18.4	-1.79
Joey Graham	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	16	-13	16.9	17.0	-0.13	17.3	17.8	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 75, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 87, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%