NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	2.8 [1166]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +8.0%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.0 [1212]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -7.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul McPherson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	14	62%	0.01	4	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	8	25%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Porter	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	16	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	7	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	22	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	71%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	63%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	7	29%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	4	37%	0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	21	59%	0.04	4	-0.06	12	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.5	16.4	27.4	1.7	24.2	126.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.6%

DET +0.6%

GSW -7.5%

DET +4.6%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	13.0	15.5	92.6	108.3	100.9
season	15.0	14.3		95.3	97.9
opponent	15.4	14.9		99.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.3	17.7	16.0	17.5	17.4
DET	12.4	12.3	14.0	13.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul McPherson	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	-9	1	17.0	17.6	-0.60	13.3	12.8	0.48
Chris Porter	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-7	-3	18.5	17.2	1.24	11.9	13.2	-1.24
Corie Blount	53	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	16.7	18.2	-1.43	13.1	12.9	0.26
Erick Dampier	34	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.37	-21	4	-25	17.8	17.1	0.72	10.5	14.5	-4.04
Adonal Foyle	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-20	23	17.0	18.4	-1.42	14.4	8.7	5.67
Adam Keefe	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-9	1	18.4	16.3	2.11	13.0	13.0	-0.04
Vonteego Cummings	74	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-8	-1	17.9	15.4	2.49	12.6	14.5	-1.96
Mookie Blaylock	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-10	3	16.8	18.7	-1.93	13.5	11.9	1.57
Antawn Jamison	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	-1	-15	17.3	17.8	-0.51	12.8	13.8	-1.01

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	80	78	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.42	33	-16	49	12.7	14.3	-1.57	17.5	16.6	0.96
Ben Wallace	67	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.55	36	-19	55	12.9	13.3	-0.49	18.0	16.0	2.02
Chucky Atkins	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	2	13	14.2	11.5	2.73	18.2	16.4	1.82
Corliss Williamson	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	10	-3	14.4	11.4	3.05	17.5	17.2	0.28
Joe Smith	58	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	9	-1	14.1	11.4	2.70	16.5	18.7	-2.18
Kornel David	46	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.11	4	13	-9	11.9	14.0	-2.13	17.5	17.3	0.22
Billy Owens	11	11	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.16	12	5	7	10.6	13.3	-2.67	18.6	17.2	1.44
Mateen Cleaves	44	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.10	2	15	-13	11.5	14.2	-2.73	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Mikki Moore	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.49	-16	33	-49	13.0	13.0	-0.05	17.4	17.3	0.12
Jud Buechler	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	19	-21	10.5	13.7	-3.17	16.9	17.5	-0.52
Dana Barros	24	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.41	-14	31	-45	14.1	12.6	1.44	16.4	17.7	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MEM 92, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 78, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%