NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	6.6 [508]		MVP	Shannon Brown (LAL): +23.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.6 [945]		LVP	Kyle Korver (CHI): -17.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	12	62%	0.16	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	25	51%	0.17	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.04	13	58%	0.10	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	13	43%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Kyle Korver	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.09	-0.02	14	68%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	13	64%	0.26	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	18	51%	0.13	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Caracter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	10	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.6	28.4	17.3	27.5	2.4	34.2	139.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.6%

LAL +18.9%

CHI -16.0%

LAL +5.5%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.5	98.9	103.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		106.5	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	14.2	19.0	16.4	16.0
LAL	14.6	13.5	14.5	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	54	54	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-15	23	14.9	17.4	-2.52	15.3	14.3	1.03
Omer Asik	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-5	3	17.9	15.6	2.31	15.5	14.7	0.78
Keith Bogans	24	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	18.9	14.9	3.99	14.9	14.8	0.10
CJ Watson	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-4	1	15.1	16.3	-1.16	15.5	14.6	0.91
Derrick Rose	76	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-8	9	15.9	16.5	-0.64	14.9	14.7	0.20
Taj Gibson	77	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	16.5	13.1	3.47	14.4	17.3	-2.87
Kyle Korver	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	15.3	16.7	-1.33	14.9	14.8	0.02
Joakim Noah	76	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	15.6	17.9	-2.31	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Luol Deng	63	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.25	-18	11	-29	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.7	15.2	-0.46

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	83	80	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-4	15	15.0	14.1	0.88	16.0	15.7	0.25
Steve Blake	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-1	9	16.0	13.8	2.14	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Matt Barnes	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	15.6	13.7	1.86	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Kobe Bryant	74	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	4	-1	14.8	14.9	-0.07	15.7	16.8	-1.06
Shannon Brown	58	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	14.7	15.0	-0.29	15.2	17.1	-1.83
Lamar Odom	67	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	14.7	15.1	-0.36	16.4	15.0	1.34
Metta World Peace	36	34	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	9	-11	13.7	15.6	-1.86	16.7	15.5	1.17
Derek Fisher	50	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	8	-9	13.8	16.0	-2.14	16.4	15.5	0.90
Derrick Caracter	3	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	9	-11	16.7	14.8	1.87	23.0	15.6	7.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.69,0.81,0.96,1,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, NYK 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.2%
PHI 76, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%
DET 85, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.2%