NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	7.2 [410]		MVP	Nick Young (LAL): +21.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	2.0 [390]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -22.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	15	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	18	45%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	26%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	10	27%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	11	41%	-0.05	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	6	87%	0.26	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	42%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	19	40%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.12	0.05	10	61%	0.02	5	-0.22	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	27.5	15.7	26.1	2.5	39.5	138.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.4%

LAL +20.0%

LAL +0.3%

DET -8.8%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.2	14.9	85.9	97.0	105.1
season	15.0	15.2		104.9	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.1		109.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.4	14.5	13.5	14.6	14.7
LAL	13.6	15.5	13.7	14.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	48	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-13	14	15.1	14.4	0.63	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Marcus Morris	67	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-16	20	14.1	16.2	-2.10	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-12	12	13.7	17.5	-3.80	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Anthony Tolliver	38	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-6	0	15.6	14.2	1.32	15.0	13.7	1.25
Aron Baynes	12	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-5	-2	21.2	13.8	7.41	13.7	14.3	-0.52
Andre Drummond	87	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-7	2	13.8	21.2	-7.41	14.3	13.7	0.52
Ersan Ilyasova	61	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-6	0	14.2	15.6	-1.32	13.7	15.0	-1.25
Reggie Bullock	28	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	0	-12	17.5	13.7	3.80	14.9	14.0	0.93
Stanley Johnson	32	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	4	-20	16.2	14.1	2.10	14.3	14.2	0.12
Reggie Jackson	51	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	1	-14	14.4	15.1	-0.63	14.5	13.9	0.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	51	51	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.06	20	-8	28	14.3	14.1	0.13	16.2	13.2	3.01
Kobe Bryant	78	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-2	16	14.1	14.6	-0.55	14.3	16.2	-2.00
Larry Nance Jr.	34	34	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	13.9	14.3	-0.41	15.9	14.1	1.79
Lou Williams	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	1	10	14.6	14.0	0.60	16.5	13.6	2.89
Brandon Bass	38	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	2	8	14.2	14.2	0.04	16.4	13.7	2.68
Roy Hibbert	62	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	10	-8	14.2	14.2	-0.04	13.7	16.4	-2.68
Jordan Clarkson	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	12	-12	14.0	14.5	-0.45	13.3	17.2	-3.82
Julius Randle	66	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	15	-18	14.3	13.9	0.41	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Metta World Peace	22	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	14	-16	14.6	14.1	0.55	16.2	14.3	2.00
D'Angelo Russell	47	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	19	-26	14.1	14.3	-0.28	13.5	15.8	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.3%
SAS 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.2%
PHX 110, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%