NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	7.1 [411]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +28.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	115		Comeback	1.4 [1118]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): -16.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	11	88%	0.20	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.04	20	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.03	0.03	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	15	60%	0.03	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	12	28%	-0.02	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.11	0.02	14	80%	0.30	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	5	94%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	3	67%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	9	35%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.14	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	6	23%	-0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	3.3	31.4	20.8	24.9	2.8	41.5	147.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +16.1%

LAL +22.5%

LAL +17.5%

PHX -4.6%

PHX -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.5	111.1	116.2	106.4
season	14.1	14.9		112.1	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		102.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	15.5	15.5	11.8	14.4
LAL	13.4	15.8	17.3	13.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	65	64	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-12	19	14.7	13.8	0.84	15.4	13.5	1.90
Grant Hill	79	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-10	15	13.2	18.9	-5.73	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Goran Dragic	20	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	19.3	13.1	6.24	15.9	14.4	1.51
Lou Amundson	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	17.1	13.3	3.81	17.1	13.7	3.33
Steve Nash	76	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	13.1	18.5	-5.40	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Matt Barnes	84	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	4	-13	14.9	11.5	3.35	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	7	-19	14.5	13.6	0.91	14.2	17.9	-3.71
Leandro Barbosa	59	60	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.37	-9	4	-13	13.3	15.9	-2.60	14.5	15.1	-0.64

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	58	56	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-2	9	14.5	15.1	-0.61	13.8	15.1	-1.23
Trevor Ariza	37	36	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-8	21	16.4	13.7	2.74	16.0	13.4	2.60
Sasha Vujacic	41	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	0	5	14.1	15.1	-1.02	14.3	14.4	-0.19
Jordan Farmar	32	31	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	-2	9	16.3	14.0	2.31	16.6	13.3	3.31
Pau Gasol	80	80	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	5	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.61	14.6	13.4	1.18
Derek Fisher	67	68	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	7	-9	14.0	16.3	-2.31	13.3	16.6	-3.31
Andrew Bynum	60	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	2	1	15.1	14.1	1.01	14.6	14.1	0.51
Kobe Bryant	75	76	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	12	-19	14.3	15.9	-1.53	13.2	18.3	-5.06
Luke Walton	45	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	6	-7	14.5	14.9	-0.46	15.1	13.7	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.6%
DET 85, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
LAL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.2%