NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	6.9 [424]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +29.0%
Chicago Bulls	95		Comeback	1.3 [709]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -19.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	12	69%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Earl Clark	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	14	47%	-0.00	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	5	44%	0.03	4	-0.14	8	50%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	22	34%	-0.09	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.11	0.01	11	92%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	8	83%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.14	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	17	41%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	18	34%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.7	30.4	18.6	29.2	3.6	30.0	138.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.2%

LAL -3.1%

LAL -4.2%

CHI +30.8%

CHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	17.1	15.4	90.2	105.6	104.1
season	14.9	16.6		106.0	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	13.0	13.7	16.0	14.5
CHI	17.0	18.5	15.8	17.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-12	12	14.0	14.6	-0.58	17.4	17.1	0.32
Darius Morris	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-11	10	17.2	14.4	2.81	15.2	17.2	-2.05
Dwight Howard	58	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-8	4	14.1	15.4	-1.28	16.9	17.5	-0.60
Antawn Jamison	29	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-11	10	14.7	14.5	0.21	17.2	17.1	0.12
Chris Duhon	24	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.5	14.2	1.35	15.8	17.6	-1.80
Metta World Peace	75	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.5	14.9	-0.42	17.3	16.5	0.79
Steve Nash	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	14.2	15.5	-1.35	17.6	15.8	1.80
Kobe Bryant	80	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	14.4	15.6	-1.20	17.2	16.5	0.73
Pau Gasol	47	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-1	-10	15.2	13.9	1.32	17.0	17.3	-0.27
Earl Clark	67	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	0	-12	14.5	14.6	-0.08	17.2	16.9	0.30

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	82	83	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-5	22	16.9	19.4	-2.46	14.8	12.2	2.57
Kirk Hinrich	63	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	2	8	17.9	15.4	2.47	13.8	16.2	-2.40
Carlos Boozer	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	17.5	16.1	1.38	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Marco Belinelli	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	4	4	17.6	16.7	0.91	14.8	14.3	0.53
Nazr Mohammed	25	24	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	6	0	16.2	17.5	-1.29	15.3	14.3	1.07
Joakim Noah	65	68	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	6	0	17.5	16.2	1.29	14.3	15.3	-1.07
Richard Hamilton	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	8	-4	16.7	17.6	-0.91	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Taj Gibson	24	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	11	-10	16.1	17.5	-1.38	15.3	14.3	1.01
Nate Robinson	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	10	-8	15.4	17.9	-2.47	16.2	13.8	2.40
Daequan Cook	8	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	17	-22	19.4	16.9	2.46	12.2	14.8	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.7%
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.7%
LAC 96, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.6%