inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement6.9 [438] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +14.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback1.3 [828] LVPDavid Robinson (SAS): -19.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Elie-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.00680%0.063-0.073100%0.02
Samaki Walker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.000.04367%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021443%-0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Jerome Kersey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Terry Porter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00736%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.041445%-0.011-0.04560%-0.01
Malik Rose-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.06-0.00433%-0.051-0.051100%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.170,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.15-0.03-0.012346%-0.054-0.121580%0.01
David Robinson-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2-0.12-0.070.00839%-0.093-0.10771%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.010.10-0.032257%0.202-0.061250%-0.05
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.01675%0.112-0.044100%0.01
Glen Rice0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.011758%0.081-0.04978%0.00
John Salley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001100%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00721%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.03-0.0158%-0.111-0.02250%-0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.13-0.02-0.001942%-0.054-0.10580%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.734.219.528.43.740.4155.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +46.5%
SAS -4.3%
SAS -15.9%
LAL +21.6%
LAL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game15.213.615.293.099.0101.7
season15.515.3101.6105.6
opponent15.115.498.195.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.415.413.314.915.2
LAL13.913.414.412.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose3535-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-3016.914.32.6213.913.50.45
Samaki Walker1716-0.10-0.400.31-0.131-7814.615.3-0.719.214.5-5.20
Terry Porter2523-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-60-617.614.43.1713.813.60.21
Jerome Kersey2726-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-3015.914.91.0215.313.02.33
Mario Elie7274-0.23-0.270.05-0.261-7815.015.7-0.7413.115.2-2.18
Antonio Daniels2525-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-71-816.814.62.1613.213.7-0.51
David Robinson5657-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.301-7813.816.9-3.1313.813.30.52
Avery Johnson7576-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.280-6614.417.5-3.0713.713.50.21
Jaren Jackson7777-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-4214.517.4-2.8713.514.0-0.49
Tim Duncan9191-0.540.04-0.59-0.19-126-1815.511.83.7414.27.66.66

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher67660.75-0.251.010.3713-72013.114.6-1.5215.813.91.97
Rick Fox25230.64-0.140.780.1716-102614.113.50.6717.014.62.42
Robert Horry51510.500.000.500.297-1813.114.2-1.1115.215.2-0.05
Shaquille O'Neal75770.290.210.070.087-1814.112.12.0516.112.04.07
Kobe Bryant76750.250.25-0.010.2215-413.713.40.2714.716.8-2.11
John Salley23220.170.33-0.160.26-39-1212.713.9-1.2012.615.9-3.32
A.C. Green49490.000.50-0.500.03-17-814.213.11.1115.215.20.05
Ron Harper5759-0.000.50-0.500.06-28-1014.113.01.1715.115.3-0.19
Glen Rice7778-0.090.59-0.680.14-814-2213.214.9-1.6814.417.8-3.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 95, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.95,1,1,193.3%
ORL 83, IND 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,193.2%
DET 85, LAL 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,193.2%