NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	1.6 [1305]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +8.4%
Atlanta Hawks	76		Comeback	1.0 [581]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (ATL): -7.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	81%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	9	89%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.11	10	32%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Delonte West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	7	43%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	6	56%	0.03	3	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	79%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	77%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	10	29%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	26.4	15.8	26.2	2.5	27.6	129.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.7%

ATL -5.0%

BOS +7.8%

BOS +3.1%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.5	110.0	85.4	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		104.8	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.8		105.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.3	16.6	16.4	15.5	15.4
ATL	18.9	15.4	17.9	15.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	48	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.56	35	-12	47	15.9	14.9	1.06	17.8	15.4	2.39
Nate Robinson	56	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.31	26	-3	29	15.8	14.8	1.01	17.1	16.2	0.85
Ray Allen	45	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.53	33	-10	43	15.8	15.0	0.76	18.2	15.3	2.92
Kevin Garnett	42	44	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.52	32	-9	41	16.0	14.9	1.08	18.0	15.5	2.53
Shaquille O'Neal	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.43	26	-3	29	16.2	14.8	1.38	17.2	16.5	0.69
Glen Davis	49	48	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	25	-27	14.9	16.0	-1.06	15.8	17.9	-2.02
Semih Erden	37	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.26	-6	29	-35	15.1	15.7	-0.58	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Delonte West	39	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	24	-25	15.0	15.7	-0.70	15.2	17.8	-2.64
Marquis Daniels	42	40	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.39	-12	35	-47	14.9	15.9	-1.06	15.4	17.8	-2.39
Von Wafer	29	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	31	-39	15.1	15.6	-0.47	15.8	17.2	-1.42
Avery Bradley	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	14.1	15.6	-1.54	16.8	16.8	0.08
Luke Harangody	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	14.1	15.6	-1.54	16.8	16.8	0.08

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	21	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-29	35	16.2	16.9	-0.69	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Jordan Crawford	44	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.40	13	-36	49	15.1	18.4	-3.26	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Zaza Pachulia	18	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-18	13	16.1	16.9	-0.82	15.8	15.3	0.49
Jeff Teague	21	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-26	29	14.8	17.4	-2.56	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Maurice Evans	37	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-20	17	17.3	16.4	0.87	14.3	16.3	-1.93
Josh Powell	47	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-21	19	16.7	16.9	-0.22	14.7	16.3	-1.55
Jamal Crawford	60	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-20	17	16.1	18.2	-2.09	14.7	16.9	-2.19
Marvin Williams	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.32	-20	-3	-17	18.2	16.1	2.09	16.9	14.7	2.19
Mike Bibby	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.40	-25	2	-27	17.5	16.3	1.28	16.9	14.5	2.49
Josh Smith	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-3	-17	16.8	16.7	0.03	16.4	14.6	1.78
Al Horford	51	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	2	-27	17.3	16.1	1.24	15.9	14.9	1.00
Joe Johnson	41	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.56	-34	11	-45	18.4	15.4	3.06	16.2	14.7	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, MIA 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
MIA 111, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
ORL 107, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%