NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	111		Excitement	1.7 [1058]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +9.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Comeback	1.0 [1034]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -8.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	10	76%	0.11	3	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	100%	0.09	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	19	68%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.05	0.02	-0.09	10	43%	0.07	2	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	21	38%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.00	0.12	2	129%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	63%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	9	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	15	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	14	30%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	32.4	15.6	25.8	1.7	28.5	130.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +44.0%

MIA +5.2%

CLE -1.4%

MIA +3.5%

CLE -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.6	122.0	95.6	102.8
season	15.5	15.5		105.6	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.8		107.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.0	17.4	16.3	20.8	16.7
CLE	17.0	15.3	11.8	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	62	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.35	28	-4	32	17.1	15.8	1.32	15.6	13.4	2.20
LeBron James	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	-3	30	15.3	19.5	-4.24	13.8	17.6	-3.86
Joel Anthony	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.32	25	-1	26	15.3	18.4	-3.11	14.0	16.3	-2.35
Dwyane Wade	47	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.47	30	-6	36	15.5	17.9	-2.46	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Mario Chalmers	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.30	23	1	22	15.3	18.4	-3.20	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Norris Cole	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	25	-26	18.0	15.6	2.44	15.9	14.3	1.58
Mike Miller	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	24	-24	17.9	15.4	2.58	15.5	14.5	0.95
Shane Battier	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	33	-42	17.8	15.9	1.94	15.5	14.6	0.89
Udonis Haslem	40	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.54	-16	40	-56	18.4	15.3	3.15	15.8	14.4	1.42
Eddy Curry	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	17	-10	17.2	16.6	0.62	20.2	14.7	5.50
Juwan Howard	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	18.4	16.5	1.88	16.9	14.8	2.02
James Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	18.4	16.5	1.88	16.9	14.8	2.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-24	24	17.6	14.7	2.89	18.7	16.4	2.23
Luke Harangody	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	17.9	14.6	3.32	19.2	16.3	2.87
Ben Uzoh	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	17.9	14.6	3.32	19.7	16.2	3.46
Christian Eyenga	22	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-24	24	18.3	13.9	4.33	16.3	16.8	-0.50
Tristan Thompson	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-24	24	15.5	14.5	0.95	18.0	15.3	2.70
Semih Erden	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-14	4	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Ramon Sessions	51	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-23	22	15.4	14.4	0.96	17.3	15.9	1.40
Ryan Hollins	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.12	-13	-11	-2	16.7	13.8	2.91	17.2	16.3	0.87
Alonzo Gee	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-13	2	14.6	15.7	-1.08	16.9	16.2	0.63
Omri Casspi	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.38	-27	3	-30	13.9	16.7	-2.85	16.4	17.0	-0.62
Kyrie Irving	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	-1	-22	13.8	17.6	-3.83	15.3	19.9	-4.54
Antawn Jamison	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.28	-25	1	-26	13.8	17.5	-3.75	15.6	18.9	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
ATL 116, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
BOS 114, NYK 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%