NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	4.6 [943]		MVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHA): +17.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	123		Comeback	1.7 [748]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): -7.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Earl Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	1	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Josh Childress	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	17	56%	0.09	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Goran Dragic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.09	13	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	2	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	11	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	13	73%	0.19	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	13	92%	0.20	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	17	76%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04
Sherron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.04	7	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	56%	0.04	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.0	30.0	15.8	30.0	1.8	29.2	137.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +44.0%

PHX -3.9%

CHA +8.6%

CHA +0.5%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHA	NBA	PHX	CHA	NBA
this game	12.8	16.0	15.5	105.0	123.0	105.7
season	14.5	16.2		108.0	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	12.8	14.1	11.6	12.8
CHA	17.1	16.7	14.7	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-11	4	12.8	12.9	-0.09	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Josh Childress	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-15	12	13.3	12.5	0.85	16.8	15.3	1.50
Jared Dudley	26	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-13	8	12.1	13.1	-1.03	16.6	15.7	0.89
Hakim Warrick	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-11	4	12.9	12.8	0.07	16.2	15.8	0.41
Jason Richardson	65	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-5	-8	12.7	13.1	-0.42	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Goran Dragic	79	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-7	-4	12.9	12.4	0.52	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Grant Hill	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-7	-4	13.1	12.1	0.96	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Channing Frye	81	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-5	-8	12.9	12.5	0.45	16.2	14.9	1.29
Hedo Turkoglu	70	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	2	-22	12.5	13.6	-1.13	15.6	16.9	-1.30

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	47	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	4	10	15.0	16.8	-1.85	13.8	12.0	1.75
Tyrus Thomas	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	4	10	15.1	17.3	-2.22	13.6	11.6	1.98
D.J. Augustin	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	4	10	16.3	15.3	1.03	13.0	12.5	0.53
Boris Diaw	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	5	8	16.7	14.2	2.47	12.9	12.6	0.36
Stephen Jackson	77	79	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	9	0	16.0	15.9	0.12	12.7	13.3	-0.62
Dominic McGuire	40	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	5	8	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.0	12.8	0.21
Matt Carroll	26	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	5	8	15.0	16.3	-1.35	12.3	13.0	-0.74
Shaun Livingston	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	15	-12	16.0	16.0	0.02	12.2	13.2	-0.97
Nazr Mohammed	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	19	-20	17.8	15.4	2.37	11.5	13.2	-1.66
Sherron Collins	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	11.3	16.1	-4.77	13.0	12.8	0.16
Gerald Wallace	49	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	20	-22	17.0	15.0	2.00	12.1	13.6	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 85, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.9%
CHA 84, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 87, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%