NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	85		Excitement	5.7 [671]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +9.7%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.6 [745]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -13.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	15	65%	0.07	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.04
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	6	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	17	39%	-0.01	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	15	43%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	20	61%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	16	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	19	38%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	14	32%	-0.05	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.3	14.8	26.2	1.8	29.3	124.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -0.4%

NJN +5.0%

NJN +20.4%

NJN +18.7%

NJN +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.6	88.5	99.0	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		102.2	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.8	15.9	16.3	15.5	15.3
NJN	13.9	14.8	15.0	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	25	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-16	22	14.5	15.6	-1.10	15.1	14.5	0.55
Robert Traylor	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	17.1	15.1	1.97	15.4	14.6	0.79
Lee Nailon	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-12	14	16.5	14.9	1.60	15.1	14.5	0.67
Stacey Augmon	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-10	10	15.1	15.4	-0.28	14.8	14.6	0.15
Jamaal Magloire	19	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-8	6	15.2	15.4	-0.15	13.8	14.9	-1.03
Bryce Drew	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-2	-6	20.2	14.6	5.52	12.8	15.0	-2.11
Baron Davis	78	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	14.8	17.7	-2.87	14.9	13.8	1.03
Elden Campbell	77	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	15.4	15.2	0.15	14.9	13.8	1.03
David Wesley	83	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	15.2	16.2	-1.04	14.7	14.2	0.50
Jamal Mashburn	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	14.9	16.5	-1.60	14.5	15.1	-0.67
P.J. Brown	61	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	4	-18	15.4	15.3	0.12	14.4	15.2	-0.78

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	70	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	14.2	16.0	-1.78	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-2	14	14.3	16.4	-2.12	15.1	16.4	-1.24
Keith Van Horn	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	2	6	15.1	13.1	1.98	15.9	13.1	2.84
Kenyon Martin	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	14.6	15.0	-0.43	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Todd MacCulloch	56	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	7	-4	14.8	14.5	0.29	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Aaron Williams	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	3	4	14.5	14.8	-0.29	15.5	15.2	0.25
Richard Jefferson	42	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	14.1	15.1	-1.02	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Derrick Dial	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	11	-12	15.3	14.5	0.78	16.2	15.1	1.11
Lucious Harris	21	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	14	-18	17.1	14.0	3.11	16.0	15.1	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, CHA 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 87, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 83, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%