NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	3.7 [1096]		MVP	Smush Parker (LAL): +13.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	1.4 [993]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (ORL): -6.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	9	74%	0.12	3	-0.06	13	85%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.09	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	8	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	58%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	12	59%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.02	0.04	20	67%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.06	0.03	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Devin Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	1	0%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.8	24.9	16.7	29.5	2.6	29.4	135.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.7%

LAL +1.9%

LAL +1.0%

LAL +23.3%

ORL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	17.8	15.6	101.2	117.2	104.4
season	16.4	15.6		104.4	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		104.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	17.6	15.4	14.9	15.5
LAL	16.9	17.6	14.0	24.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-12	9	16.0	15.5	0.49	33.0	17.6	15.42
Stacey Augmon	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-13	11	0.0	15.7	-15.71	2.5	18.1	-15.62
Pat Garrity	28	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-14	13	15.8	15.4	0.44	16.6	18.4	-1.77
Hedo Turkoglu	56	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	15.1	16.2	-1.09	18.4	16.6	1.73
Darko Milicic	41	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-13	11	16.0	15.1	0.96	20.9	15.2	5.78
Keyon Dooling	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-8	1	16.4	14.8	1.66	16.3	18.9	-2.52
Carlos Arroyo	48	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	14.8	16.4	-1.66	18.9	16.3	2.52
Tony Battie	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.35	16.0	19.6	-3.56
Dwight Howard	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-2	-11	15.4	15.7	-0.32	18.1	17.1	0.96
DeShawn Stevenson	48	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	1	-17	15.0	16.2	-1.14	15.1	21.3	-6.20
Grant Hill	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-7	-1	16.2	13.3	2.90	19.0	13.6	5.34

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	38	37	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-5	25	16.0	19.1	-3.12	15.8	15.3	0.46
Kobe Bryant	78	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-2	19	18.0	15.6	2.46	15.9	12.1	3.81
Smush Parker	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	-1	17	16.7	20.7	-3.99	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Lamar Odom	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	0	15	16.6	23.4	-6.82	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Brian Cook	50	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	7	1	16.1	20.0	-3.90	15.5	15.5	0.06
Sasha Vujacic	22	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	9	-3	16.5	18.2	-1.75	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Devean George	34	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	20.4	16.1	4.26	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Ronny Turiaf	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	15	-15	21.1	16.6	4.46	16.3	15.3	1.01
Andrew Bynum	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	18	-21	26.5	16.2	10.32	13.5	15.9	-2.34
Devin Green	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	21	-27	33.5	17.0	16.50	10.0	15.8	-5.79
Chris Mihm	38	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	17	-19	17.0	18.3	-1.30	16.4	14.8	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
CHH 85, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.3%