NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	96		Excitement	4.4 [968]		MVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): +13.8%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.2 [1056]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -11.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Garrett Temple	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	52%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.02	0.11	11	58%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
John Wall	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	20	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	12	77%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	2	73%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	7	81%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	3	75%	0.06	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.03	13	54%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.6	15.8	29.9	0.8	30.2	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.2%

BOS +13.7%

WAS -7.9%

BOS +12.5%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	101.1	112.6	104.1
season	15.1	14.9		98.8	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.7		101.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	15.3	17.6	14.5	15.5
BOS	14.0	12.9	15.1	17.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Singleton	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	12.0	15.6	-3.63	17.7	14.7	3.08
Cartier Martin	15	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-18	25	14.7	15.7	-1.01	15.5	14.6	0.89
Jan Vesely	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-12	13	14.3	15.8	-1.46	17.1	14.3	2.85
Trevor Booker	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-7	3	17.9	15.1	2.83	11.4	15.3	-3.96
Kevin Seraphin	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-7	3	15.0	16.2	-1.22	14.5	15.1	-0.54
Trevor Ariza	48	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-1	-9	14.9	16.1	-1.17	14.4	15.1	-0.72
A.J. Price	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-8	5	15.7	15.4	0.33	15.3	14.3	1.04
Martell Webster	51	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-1	-9	15.2	15.9	-0.73	14.9	14.7	0.20
Nene	50	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	16.0	14.9	1.11	15.2	14.3	0.99
Garrett Temple	46	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	17.1	14.0	3.09	13.6	16.0	-2.42
Emeka Okafor	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	1	-13	15.5	15.5	0.03	14.4	15.3	-0.83
John Wall	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	0	-11	15.2	16.9	-1.66	15.2	12.9	2.34

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	4	3	15.4	13.0	2.44	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Avery Bradley	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	7	-3	15.4	13.9	1.46	16.1	14.7	1.31
Paul Pierce	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-4	19	15.1	14.3	0.82	15.2	16.0	-0.72
Jason Terry	44	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	4	3	15.8	13.9	1.90	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Shavlik Randolph	30	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	1	9	15.1	14.7	0.44	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	47	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	3	5	14.1	15.4	-1.29	16.6	14.4	2.28
Jeff Green	54	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	9	-7	14.5	15.2	-0.78	15.6	15.4	0.27
Courtney Lee	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	6	-1	13.3	15.8	-2.56	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Jordan Crawford	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	11	-11	13.7	15.4	-1.70	16.1	15.2	0.83
Chris Wilcox	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	14	-17	14.6	15.0	-0.42	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Terrence Williams	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	11	-11	16.5	14.8	1.74	7.5	15.7	-8.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, SEA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHI 88, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.6%
LAL 90, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%