NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	4.0 [1030]		MVP	Cory Joseph (TOR): +16.8%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	1.2 [973]		LVP	Ian Mahinmi (IND): -4.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Solomon Hill	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	11	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	6	86%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	14	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	6	106%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.03	0.05	11	66%	0.14	3	-0.06	19	74%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	10	68%	0.04	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	31.4	15.6	27.3	2.5	34.2	138.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.3%

TOR +7.7%

TOR +8.1%

IND -8.5%

TOR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	14.9	107.7	119.4	105.1
season	14.6	16.1		103.2	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	14.0	16.3	13.5	14.8
TOR	19.0	14.3	18.0	15.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Young	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	10.4	15.1	-4.70	17.5	16.4	1.13
Glenn Robinson	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	10.4	15.1	-4.70	17.5	16.4	1.13
CJ Miles	48	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-12	11	14.9	14.8	0.11	14.8	18.1	-3.28
Ian Mahinmi	35	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.8	16.9	-1.01
Lavoy Allen	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-10	7	14.3	15.2	-0.86	18.4	15.2	3.27
Rodney Stuckey	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-6	-1	15.3	14.6	0.63	16.1	16.6	-0.52
Monta Ellis	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-9	5	14.9	14.7	0.21	16.9	15.8	1.06
Ty Lawson	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.0	14.7	0.30	15.2	17.2	-1.94
George Hill	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	14.6	15.3	-0.68	16.7	16.0	0.72
Myles Turner	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	0	-13	15.2	14.5	0.73	17.0	16.0	1.04
Paul George	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	1	-15	15.4	14.1	1.33	17.2	15.5	1.65
Solomon Hill	52	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-3	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.09	15.8	17.3	-1.45

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	4	5	17.5	14.1	3.39	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Norman Powell	83	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	2	9	16.2	18.4	-2.20	14.6	16.3	-1.62
James Johnson	53	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-1	15	17.2	15.5	1.65	15.4	14.1	1.33
Jason Thompson	41	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	3	7	18.2	15.1	3.14	15.1	14.7	0.44
Patrick Patterson	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	0	13	15.6	17.5	-1.95	14.8	14.9	-0.04
Bismack Biyombo	20	19	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	5	3	13.3	17.3	-4.00	15.7	14.6	1.13
Jonas Valanciunas	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	9	-5	17.6	15.5	2.12	15.0	14.7	0.31
Terrence Ross	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	14	-15	15.8	16.9	-1.10	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Delon Wright	52	51	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	15	-17	15.3	17.9	-2.61	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Lucas Nogueira	20	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	14	-15	15.8	16.6	-0.82	14.5	14.9	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BKN 86, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 86, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%