NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	4.3 [932]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +16.4%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.7 [710]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -8.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.07	12	73%	0.11	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	58%	0.09	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	9	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	13	46%	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.05	-0.05	24	62%	0.27	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	9	63%	0.10	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	29.4	15.7	30.1	1.8	30.0	136.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +22.9%

ATL +8.1%

ATL +5.8%

ATL +12.2%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.7	15.4	93.3	104.5	105.7
season	15.8	15.4		103.1	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.1		107.2	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	19.0	15.0	16.3	16.4
ATL	16.2	16.1	14.3	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermareo Davidson	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-6	3	17.0	16.4	0.62	16.1	15.7	0.43
Ryan Hollins	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-4	-1	18.5	16.3	2.15	9.7	15.9	-6.28
Othella Harrington	6	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-4	-1	19.0	16.3	2.74	11.6	16.0	-4.38
Jason Richardson	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-11	13	16.3	16.6	-0.28	16.4	14.6	1.82
Gerald Wallace	74	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-15	21	15.8	19.2	-3.41	16.5	11.9	4.57
Emeka Okafor	67	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-12	15	15.6	19.0	-3.37	16.3	13.7	2.62
Jared Dudley	48	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.1	15.7	1.41	15.7	15.7	0.01
Matt Carroll	30	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	17.6	15.9	1.73	15.2	16.0	-0.77
Nazr Mohammed	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	17.2	15.9	1.22	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Raymond Felton	74	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	5	-19	16.1	18.2	-2.20	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Jeff McInnis	45	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	8	-25	16.8	16.1	0.71	14.6	16.9	-2.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	75	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	15.5	16.9	-1.42	16.6	15.2	1.47
Joe Johnson	79	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	1	7	15.9	14.5	1.39	16.7	14.3	2.35
Marvin Williams	83	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	4	1	15.4	20.3	-4.94	16.5	16.2	0.20
Anthony Johnson	72	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	2	5	15.4	17.0	-1.57	16.1	17.9	-1.87
Mario West	36	34	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-3	15	16.4	15.3	1.15	16.5	16.4	0.09
Zaza Pachulia	28	28	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	17.3	15.0	2.27	17.2	16.1	1.12
Lorenzen Wright	9	8	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	1	7	13.1	16.0	-2.91	16.6	16.4	0.20
Shelden Williams	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	12.5	15.9	-3.38	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Solomon Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	16.5	15.7	0.81	9.0	16.7	-7.70
Al Horford	55	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	17	-25	16.1	15.2	0.90	16.3	16.6	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, CHA 123	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHH 85, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	95.2%
OKC 87, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%