inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 101 Excitement8.4 [189] MVPTyrus Thomas (CHA): +40.5%
Toronto Raptors 96 Comeback3.7 [228] LVPBoris Diaw (CHA): -12.1%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas0.410,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.3,0.410.050.350.00964%0.431-0.024100%0.10
Stephen Jackson0.150,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.150.030.140.011362%0.254-0.10683%-0.01
Gerald Henderson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00562%0.0800.00667%-0.03
D.J. Augustin0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.040.01970%0.071-0.035100%0.03
Matt Carroll0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Derrick Brown0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.000100%0.051-0.052100%0.02
Gerald Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.001450%0.002-0.041070%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.00933%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.06-0.02862%0.156-0.2700%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Julian Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.00760%0.0900.001100%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.001064%0.253-0.19580%0.04
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.040.040.12-0.080.001269%0.111-0.08580%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.03-0.00350%0.051-0.0320%-0.03
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.04-0.00518%0.0100.0010%-0.04
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.04-0.01860%0.126-0.134100%0.02
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.01729%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.01921%-0.081-0.021100%0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.10-0.012054%0.065-0.17683%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.432.216.427.62.335.3139.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +41.9%
CHA +6.8%
TOR -3.7%
CHA +5.0%
TOR -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHATORNBACHATORNBA
this game15.715.615.5108.6105.5105.7
season16.215.1102.3104.7
opponent15.515.5111.2106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.615.614.616.015.7
TOR14.013.818.116.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Wallace84820.74-0.240.980.3912-71915.914.41.4215.813.62.24
Boris Diaw73730.66-0.160.810.3610-51515.815.60.1715.516.1-0.60
D.J. Augustin67660.60-0.100.700.339-41315.815.70.1114.817.6-2.80
Stephen Jackson79780.380.120.270.3223-115.616.7-1.1615.118.5-3.46
Tyrus Thomas39400.300.200.110.39-38-1116.215.40.7716.614.81.84
Nazr Mohammed35340.210.29-0.08-0.028-31115.415.9-0.5815.715.50.21
DeSagana Diop860.000.50-0.500.0005-516.715.61.1114.015.7-1.68
Derrick Brown98-0.000.50-0.51-0.0005-516.215.70.5416.215.50.74
Matt Carroll98-0.090.59-0.670.00-38-1115.615.7-0.1910.116.1-5.97
Shaun Livingston2625-0.100.60-0.700.02-49-1315.715.8-0.1117.614.82.80
Gerald Henderson3635-0.200.70-0.91-0.03-611-1715.316.0-0.7416.515.01.44

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Wright38400.35-0.851.190.0510-152515.615.50.1015.815.70.12
Linas Kleiza3333-0.21-0.290.070.05-94-1316.415.11.2415.415.9-0.52
Jarrett Jack4850-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-61-714.716.5-1.8315.615.9-0.33
Amir Johnson5253-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.322-7915.216.1-0.8815.516.0-0.56
Reggie Evans5356-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.00-94-1317.612.84.8216.214.91.30
Sonny Weems7071-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.425-101515.316.3-0.9916.114.41.73
Jose Calderon4444-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-4316.215.01.2315.615.9-0.27
Andrea Bargnani7676-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-4314.620.5-5.8615.715.9-0.18
DeMar DeRozan4142-0.850.35-1.21-0.38-1611-2715.315.8-0.5515.216.1-0.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 89, DET 810.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.01,092.6%
MIN 121, GSW 1200.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.17,0.28,092.0%
DEN 111, MEM 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.03,091.9%