NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	121		Excitement	9.9 [79]		MVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): +46.1%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	3.5 [248]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): -43.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.46	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.46	0.12	0.33	-0.00	17	67%	0.57	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.05
Corey Brewer	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	11	68%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	18	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	47%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	18	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	14	79%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.01	7	56%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	29%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.28,0.32	0.32	0.07	0.25	0.00	9	70%	0.52	2	-0.20	5	60%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	21	73%	0.41	5	-0.26	3	100%	0.04
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	-0.00	15	70%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.43	-0.43	-0.14	-0.30	-0.00	7	14%	-0.35	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	26.4	15.4	26.4	2.5	31.8	126.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.2%

GSW -15.9%

MIN +12.4%

MIN +26.9%

MIN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	13.9	15.1	119.8	120.0	105.2
season	14.6	14.2		107.3	105.9
opponent	15.3	14.5		102.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	14.1	15.9	15.2	14.8
GSW	14.4	14.7	12.9	13.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	73	73	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.59	7	-6	13	14.6	15.1	-0.54	13.4	15.3	-1.91
Nikola Pekovic	70	71	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-13	27	14.3	15.8	-1.52	13.9	14.0	-0.09
Chase Budinger	30	30	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-6	13	14.6	14.8	-0.22	15.2	13.3	1.90
Kevin Love	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	2	-3	14.8	14.6	0.24	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Corey Brewer	71	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	7	-13	14.8	14.6	0.22	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Ricky Rubio	71	72	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	-6	13	14.6	15.2	-0.59	13.5	15.0	-1.58
Dante Cunningham	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	-1	3	14.6	14.8	-0.24	15.4	13.4	2.00
A.J. Price	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	0	1	13.1	14.9	-1.80	17.1	13.6	3.51
Jose Juan Barea	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	6	-11	16.2	14.4	1.87	14.2	13.8	0.37
Alexey Shved	29	27	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.10	-8	9	-17	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.3	13.4	1.91
Ronny Turiaf	31	29	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.05	-13	14	-27	15.8	14.3	1.52	14.0	13.9	0.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	31	33	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-8	15	15.5	13.2	2.25	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Draymond Green	28	28	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-1	1	15.5	13.3	2.17	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Harrison Barnes	45	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-14	27	14.2	13.7	0.55	15.6	14.1	1.50
Jordan Crawford	29	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	0	-1	16.1	13.0	3.05	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Andrew Bogut	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	7	-15	13.2	15.5	-2.25	14.8	14.7	0.13
Stephen Curry	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	2	-5	13.4	15.8	-2.42	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Andre Iguodala	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-1	1	13.0	16.1	-3.05	14.8	14.7	0.11
David Lee	72	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.59	-3	2	-5	13.3	15.5	-2.17	15.2	13.7	1.54
Klay Thompson	76	77	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	9	-19	14.2	12.8	1.46	14.4	15.9	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.17,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 101, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.16,0	92.0%
TOR 87, DET 75	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.02,0,0	91.2%
SAC 96, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.02,0	91.1%