NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	7.9 [285]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +28.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	2.5 [539]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -8.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.11	-0.03	16	66%	0.30	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.01	25	58%	0.35	6	-0.20	7	86%	0.04
Allen Iverson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.11	0.02	18	56%	0.22	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.06
Steve Blake	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.08	0.02	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Linas Kleiza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.01	9	75%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	18	58%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.14	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.02,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	18	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	29.3	16.4	22.2	1.5	31.6	130.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -10.4%

DEN +41.8%

DEN +7.4%

DEN +5.5%

DEN +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	14.4	15.4	109.9	104.9	104.5
season	14.0	15.1		105.8	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		110.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.2	14.1	15.2	14.7	14.0
MEM	13.0	13.6	15.4	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	87	88	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	0	4	13.6	16.7	-3.16	14.2	15.7	-1.54
Steve Blake	56	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-1	6	14.3	13.6	0.70	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Carmelo Anthony	88	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	14.1	13.0	1.14	14.5	13.5	0.97
Nene	78	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-1	6	14.1	13.6	0.55	14.7	13.1	1.65
Marcus Camby	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	4	-4	13.7	14.8	-1.05	13.9	15.9	-2.00
Eduardo Najera	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	2	0	14.2	13.9	0.28	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Reggie Evans	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	3	-2	14.3	13.9	0.32	15.2	14.2	0.96
Yakhouba Diawara	49	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	4	-4	13.6	14.4	-0.77	14.5	14.3	0.18
Linas Kleiza	23	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.09	-2	6	-8	15.2	13.6	1.53	14.9	14.2	0.70

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarence Kinsey	27	29	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.08	9	-13	22	13.8	14.6	-0.82	13.9	14.0	-0.18
Chucky Atkins	43	45	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-7	10	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.1	13.9	0.18
Scott Padgett	10	11	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-8	12	14.9	14.3	0.57	15.5	13.8	1.64
Alexander Johnson	4	4	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-6	8	15.2	14.3	0.90	12.5	14.1	-1.55
Lawrence Roberts	54	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-4	4	13.1	15.9	-2.78	14.0	14.0	-0.06
Dahntay Jones	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	2	-8	16.2	14.2	2.03	13.0	14.1	-1.06
Junior Harrington	15	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-3	2	10.0	15.1	-5.14	11.8	14.3	-2.46
Pau Gasol	91	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	14.6	12.5	2.06	13.7	16.5	-2.87
Mike Miller	93	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-4	4	14.4	14.4	-0.07	13.9	14.5	-0.55
Rudy Gay	72	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	2	-8	14.6	13.8	0.83	14.1	13.6	0.50
Hakim Warrick	45	45	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	9	-22	15.3	13.6	1.66	14.4	13.6	0.78
Damon Stoudamire	48	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.39	-11	7	-18	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.6	13.5	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.9%
CHA 101, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.16,0	91.9%
IND 90, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	91.7%