NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	6.7 [462]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +8.3%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	2.5 [251]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -20.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	17	68%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.07	0.01	17	42%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harold Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Obinna Ekezie	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	5	79%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	14	28%	-0.13	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	73%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.06
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	20	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	6	14%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.16	0.02	20	57%	-0.01	5	-0.19	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.6	28.3	16.5	26.4	2.5	31.5	128.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +6.7%

LAC +22.0%

LAC +24.7%

LAC +3.9%

HOU -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	17.4	16.2	15.6	109.3	98.8	102.3
season	15.9	16.8		103.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		106.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	16.2	19.2	21.0	17.4
HOU	15.3	16.5	17.6	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	51	49	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-3	16	17.4	17.5	-0.05	16.2	16.3	-0.15
Quentin Richardson	55	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-2	14	17.6	17.2	0.37	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Jeff McInnis	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-4	18	17.3	17.8	-0.46	15.5	18.6	-3.14
Elton Brand	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	3	4	18.1	14.5	3.59	16.3	16.1	0.22
Sean Rooks	42	41	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	5	0	18.5	16.4	2.09	16.2	16.3	-0.15
Obinna Ekezie	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	5	0	16.4	18.5	-2.09	16.3	16.2	0.15
Harold Jamison	15	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	7	-4	14.5	18.1	-3.59	16.1	16.3	-0.22
Earl Boykins	19	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	14	-18	17.8	17.3	0.46	18.6	15.5	3.14
Eric Piatkowski	31	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	12	-14	17.2	17.6	-0.37	17.0	15.8	1.16
Tremaine Fowlkes	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	13	-16	17.5	17.4	0.05	16.3	16.2	0.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	34	34	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.00	0	-10	10	15.9	16.5	-0.61	18.7	16.6	2.16
Oscar Torres	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-9	8	17.6	15.7	1.87	17.9	17.3	0.60
Eddie Griffin	53	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.3	16.1	0.20	16.3	19.3	-3.04
Steve Francis	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-7	4	16.6	14.8	1.79	16.6	20.2	-3.57
Moochie Norris	42	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-5	0	16.4	16.1	0.26	18.1	16.7	1.42
Kenny Thomas	67	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	15.6	18.5	-2.86	17.3	18.1	-0.78
Cuttino Mobley	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	1	-12	15.9	18.9	-3.06	17.7	15.7	1.96
Kelvin Cato	65	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	5	-20	16.5	15.4	1.04	17.8	16.3	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	93.9%
DAL 83, POR 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.5%
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	92.9%