NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	6.3 [515]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +34.1%
Detroit Pistons	81		Comeback	7.4 [81]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -31.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34	0.17	0.16	-0.00	12	73%	0.38	1	-0.04	13	77%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	-0.02	0.13	0.00	16	44%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	12	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	13	39%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	20	58%	0.13	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.04	14	72%	0.22	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	4	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	42%	0.05	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.31,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	12	17%	-0.17	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.6	34.0	19.7	30.3	3.5	41.3	160.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +17.1%

BOS +8.9%

BOS +6.2%

BOS +12.8%

BOS +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	17.8	15.4	106.0	98.8	105.7
season	15.6	16.8		108.0	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.3	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	21.5	15.9	15.3	16.9
DET	17.1	17.3	19.3	17.4	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	34	34	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.34	14	-6	20	17.2	16.7	0.50	17.6	17.9	-0.36
Kendrick Perkins	71	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-5	18	17.0	16.5	0.57	18.5	13.8	4.66
Kevin Garnett	60	61	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-3	14	16.8	17.2	-0.43	17.7	18.0	-0.25
Rajon Rondo	62	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-1	10	17.3	15.8	1.52	17.9	17.4	0.46
Paul Pierce	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	4	0	16.8	17.7	-0.86	17.8	17.8	-0.01
Sam Cassell	22	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	9	-10	15.8	17.3	-1.52	17.4	17.9	-0.46
Ray Allen	64	61	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.14	0	8	-8	16.2	19.2	-3.03	17.2	19.4	-2.17
Leon Powe	11	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	10	-12	19.3	16.6	2.68	15.6	18.1	-2.47
P.J. Brown	22	20	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.06	-8	16	-24	17.8	16.6	1.19	18.5	17.5	1.03

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	18	18	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.07	7	-15	22	18.9	17.4	1.51	15.6	17.3	-1.76
Arron Afflalo	0	1	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-8	8	0.0	17.8	-17.77	22.0	16.9	5.12
Lindsey Hunter	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-4	0	17.8	17.8	0.01	18.1	16.8	1.32
Antonio McDyess	62	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-11	14	18.5	15.4	3.13	16.9	17.2	-0.33
Rodney Stuckey	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	18.1	17.5	0.64	14.4	19.2	-4.77
Tayshaun Prince	64	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-9	10	17.4	19.2	-1.79	17.3	15.5	1.83
Jason Maxiell	26	27	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	1	-10	18.3	17.5	0.73	18.3	16.3	1.94
Richard Hamilton	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	3	-14	17.2	20.6	-3.38	17.2	15.9	1.31
Chauncey Billups	70	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	1	-10	17.9	16.9	1.00	17.0	16.7	0.22
Rasheed Wallace	54	56	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.41	-15	7	-22	17.0	19.2	-2.20	17.5	15.7	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 101, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.16,0	92.6%
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	92.1%
NOP 104, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.1%