NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	5.2 [812]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +12.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	1.0 [1024]		LVP	Robin Lopez (PHX): -9.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	73%	0.11	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.00
Grant Hill	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	10	79%	0.16	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	18	45%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	67%	0.07	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.05	0.05	5	62%	-0.03	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	58%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.01	-0.07	18	55%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	16	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	14	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	30%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	44%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	34.3	16.3	24.6	2.7	33.3	137.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +3.1%

MEM +14.5%

MEM +10.0%

MEM +26.0%

PHX -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	15.5	102.1	109.0	105.7
season	14.5	15.5		108.0	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	14.5	12.2	15.1	13.8
MEM	15.2	12.7	17.1	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	48	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-11	12	13.7	14.0	-0.27	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Hakim Warrick	71	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-10	10	14.2	13.0	1.15	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Steve Nash	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-11	12	12.8	15.9	-3.12	15.7	14.8	0.88
Josh Childress	30	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-1	-8	16.2	12.8	3.41	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Grant Hill	62	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	12.5	16.1	-3.59	15.7	14.7	0.97
Jared Dudley	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.9	12.4	3.58	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Jason Richardson	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	12.8	16.2	-3.41	15.4	15.2	0.22
Goran Dragic	32	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	1	-12	15.9	12.8	3.12	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Hedo Turkoglu	40	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	13.9	13.8	0.05	17.1	14.1	3.02
Robin Lopez	30	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	5	-20	13.2	14.1	-0.98	15.3	15.4	-0.12

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-2	14	15.2	16.1	-0.90	13.8	14.1	-0.27
Rudy Gay	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-4	18	15.4	15.3	0.11	13.7	14.6	-0.98
Marc Gasol	55	54	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	16.9	13.5	3.42	13.2	14.6	-1.36
O.J. Mayo	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	1	8	15.6	15.0	0.61	13.1	15.2	-2.07
Mike Conley	74	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	15.9	14.0	1.85	13.6	14.7	-1.15
Acie Law	25	23	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	3	4	14.6	15.6	-1.08	15.0	13.5	1.57
Xavier Henry	54	50	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	10	-10	14.8	16.1	-1.29	14.1	13.5	0.61
Sam Young	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	12	-14	14.1	15.7	-1.63	15.4	13.5	1.96
Darrell Arthur	44	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	13	-16	14.3	16.2	-1.92	15.0	13.1	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
ORL 95, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 83, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%