NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	8.3 [199]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +16.2%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	3.9 [262]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -14.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	23	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06	0.01	0.04	0.00	8	63%	0.15	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Dorell Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
David Lee	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	12	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.14	0.01	15	58%	0.29	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.05
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.01	17	69%	0.31	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	13	50%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	58%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	14	47%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	8	30%	-0.12	1	-0.02	7	14%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	34.1	15.8	26.2	2.7	37.0	144.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +55.0%

GSW -5.1%

GSW -5.2%

DET +3.9%

DET +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	16.8	15.5	103.2	109.7	105.7
season	14.8	16.7		106.6	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.2		110.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	14.8	12.4	14.1	14.0
DET	15.7	18.8	16.6	16.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	14.1	14.0	0.12	16.0	16.9	-0.92
David Lee	71	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-9	13	14.1	13.6	0.50	16.2	18.8	-2.61
Andris Biedrins	49	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.20	4	-9	13	14.0	14.0	0.06	17.6	16.0	1.63
Charlie Bell	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.9	0.83	15.1	17.0	-1.82
Rodney Carney	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	13.7	14.1	-0.38	17.2	16.7	0.42
Dorell Wright	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-4	3	13.9	14.5	-0.59	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	7	-19	14.1	13.9	0.19	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Stephen Curry	55	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	13.7	14.5	-0.81	17.8	15.4	2.36
Monta Ellis	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-4	3	13.9	14.7	-0.83	17.0	15.1	1.82
Reggie Williams	55	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	14.3	13.6	0.73	16.3	17.6	-1.27

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	76	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-7	19	16.1	20.3	-4.24	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Charlie Villanueva	50	50	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-1	7	17.5	16.1	1.41	14.3	13.6	0.75
Ben Gordon	47	49	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	17.5	16.2	1.29	14.0	13.9	0.11
Rodney Stuckey	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	3	-1	16.5	17.5	-1.00	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Tayshaun Prince	67	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	3	-1	16.3	18.2	-1.84	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Greg Monroe	33	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	17.6	16.4	1.16	14.3	13.8	0.43
Will Bynum	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	2	1	17.3	16.6	0.69	14.6	13.6	1.03
Ben Wallace	47	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	15.9	17.8	-1.98	13.9	14.0	-0.11
Austin Daye	33	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	16.7	16.9	-0.20	13.7	14.1	-0.44
Tracy McGrady	15	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	10	-15	20.9	16.0	4.89	15.3	13.7	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	91.9%
UTA 85, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.95,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	91.9%
OKC 85, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.92,1	91.8%