NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	8.0 [247]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +20.0%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	3.9 [129]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -29.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.11	-0.03	14	59%	0.27	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	62%	0.11	3	-0.13	10	60%	-0.03
Lou Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	14	86%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	11	56%	-0.00	5	-0.17	3	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	48%	0.12	1	-0.07	8	62%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	45%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	14	34%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.15	-0.01	13	52%	-0.04	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	11	28%	-0.15	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	33.5	16.2	32.4	1.8	32.2	141.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +64.5%

NYK -9.3%

NYK -10.4%

PHI +6.1%

NYK -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	13.0	15.5	101.9	94.1	105.7
season	15.5	14.3		104.6	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	16.1	13.8	14.7	14.9
NYK	13.6	12.1	11.4	15.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	59	56	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-2	14	14.5	15.5	-1.03	13.0	13.1	-0.09
Jrue Holiday	91	89	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.08	22	-12	34	14.8	15.4	-0.55	13.5	9.9	3.57
Tony Battie	33	33	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.25	15	-5	20	14.4	15.2	-0.79	14.2	12.5	1.78
Marreese Speights	23	24	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	13.2	15.4	-2.22	12.6	13.2	-0.60
Elton Brand	78	75	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	2	6	15.2	14.1	1.05	13.4	12.0	1.46
Evan Turner	75	74	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	10	-10	15.0	14.6	0.39	13.1	12.7	0.40
Jason Kapono	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	11	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.55	13.2	13.0	0.16
Jodie Meeks	37	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	11	-12	13.5	15.7	-2.20	12.2	13.6	-1.40
Andres Nocioni	39	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	10	-10	17.2	13.6	3.60	12.5	13.4	-0.85
Thaddeus Young	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	14	-18	15.3	14.7	0.62	13.2	13.0	0.25
Spencer Hawes	38	36	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.00	-13	23	-36	15.4	14.6	0.73	11.4	13.9	-2.46

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	46	46	0.42	-0.92	1.34	-0.02	15	-25	40	11.3	14.4	-3.12	15.3	14.6	0.72
Timofey Mozgov	33	32	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.04	8	-18	26	11.6	13.7	-2.12	15.2	14.8	0.45
Anthony Randolph	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	13.3	12.9	0.37	13.5	15.4	-1.82
Danilo Gallinari	69	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-7	4	13.2	12.7	0.46	15.5	13.7	1.74
Henry Walker	28	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	13.1	13.0	0.14	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	13.0	13.2	-0.26	15.4	13.5	1.82
Wilson Chandler	50	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	9	-28	14.0	12.1	1.85	14.0	15.9	-1.92
Raymond Felton	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	13.2	12.8	0.36	15.9	13.1	2.83
Ronny Turiaf	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	-5	0	13.5	12.4	1.04	14.6	15.3	-0.64
Toney Douglas	56	58	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.18	-19	9	-28	13.6	12.4	1.18	14.0	16.0	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.11,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 114, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	91.5%
GSW 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	90.8%
MEM 112, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.61,0.21,0.15,0,0	90.8%