NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	4.9 [877]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): +20.2%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	3.5 [1012]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -16.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.03	0.01	8	106%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	7	81%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	10	35%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.00	17	26%	-0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	12	67%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	13	71%	0.17	5	-0.07	16	75%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	29.4	16.8	27.0	0.8	31.5	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.9%

ORL +11.4%

ORL +15.5%

NJN -2.2%

NJN -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	14.6	15.5	98.9	115.4	105.7
season	16.4	15.2		101.6	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.3		101.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	17.9	18.9	15.7	17.0
ORL	14.2	17.2	12.4	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	45	45	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.16	7	-22	29	16.8	17.3	-0.53	15.4	13.9	1.49
Kris Humphries	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.20	-6	-9	3	16.5	17.3	-0.75	14.7	14.6	0.16
Devin Harris	59	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-14	13	17.3	16.6	0.66	14.7	14.5	0.15
Derrick Favors	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-13	11	16.5	17.3	-0.76	15.1	14.4	0.66
Terrence Williams	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-3	-9	16.8	17.3	-0.49	15.0	14.3	0.70
Brook Lopez	57	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	17.8	15.8	2.01	14.5	14.9	-0.48
Troy Murphy	56	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-7	-1	17.2	16.7	0.45	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Jordan Farmar	51	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.09	-13	-2	-11	16.5	17.6	-1.08	14.7	14.5	0.29
Travis Outlaw	74	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.22	-29	14	-43	17.2	16.3	0.90	13.9	17.8	-3.86

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	62	62	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.02	25	-10	35	14.1	15.7	-1.51	17.4	16.2	1.25
Vince Carter	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.21	31	-16	47	13.8	18.1	-4.34	17.1	16.7	0.44
Mickael Pietrus	36	36	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.07	20	-5	25	12.8	15.8	-3.01	17.4	16.8	0.61
Dwight Howard	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-6	27	14.3	16.1	-1.78	16.5	19.1	-2.60
Rashard Lewis	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	1	13	14.8	14.3	0.46	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Brandon Bass	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	16	-17	15.0	14.4	0.64	17.5	16.7	0.76
Ryan Anderson	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	11	-7	15.2	14.5	0.71	18.3	16.8	1.50
Marcin Gortat	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	21	-27	16.1	14.3	1.78	19.1	16.5	2.60
Quentin Richardson	18	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	23	-31	15.6	14.4	1.23	15.0	17.5	-2.52
Chris Duhon	29	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.04	-10	25	-35	15.7	14.1	1.51	16.2	17.4	-1.25
JJ Redick	37	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.18	-15	30	-45	16.8	13.1	3.64	16.8	17.2	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 80, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHH 99, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
TOR 96, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.8%