NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	4.9 [835]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +12.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	2.2 [1035]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -16.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	6	94%	0.14	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	58%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.05	13	41%	-0.06	5	-0.11	8	75%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	11	36%	-0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.05	20	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	11	73%	0.14	6	-0.13	8	50%	-0.06
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	27%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	15	58%	0.05	5	-0.12	6	83%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.7	33.2	15.7	30.5	2.5	31.5	137.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.2%

WAS -9.7%

POR +10.1%

POR +13.9%

POR +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.6	88.9	105.6	102.3
season	16.5	16.0		102.2	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.8	16.3	18.0	15.7	16.7
POR	15.2	14.3	12.6	19.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	13	13	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.00	6	-21	27	16.2	16.8	-0.59	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Brendan Haywood	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-12	9	14.6	17.1	-2.48	16.0	15.1	0.86
Tyronn Lue	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-13	11	17.1	16.6	0.47	18.0	14.5	3.51
Kwame Brown	38	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.6	17.6	-2.00	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Jahidi White	35	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-5	-5	17.6	16.2	1.37	14.2	16.0	-1.74
Tyrone Nesby	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-5	-5	16.3	17.1	-0.79	15.9	14.6	1.27
Popeye Jones	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-9	3	18.0	16.4	1.59	18.3	14.3	4.00
Courtney Alexander	74	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	16.6	17.1	-0.48	15.0	16.4	-1.47
Christian Laettner	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	17.4	15.5	1.91	15.4	14.9	0.50
Richard Hamilton	60	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-4	-7	17.1	15.9	1.20	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Chris Whitney	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	0	-15	16.4	17.9	-1.54	14.4	18.6	-4.27

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	78	78	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.02	24	-9	33	14.9	17.7	-2.87	17.1	14.4	2.67
Scottie Pippen	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	0	15	14.7	17.8	-3.10	17.0	15.3	1.76
Bonzi Wells	63	61	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-7	29	13.8	18.7	-4.91	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Derek Anderson	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	4	7	14.9	15.6	-0.69	15.8	17.6	-1.76
Shawn Kemp	81	81	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	6	3	15.5	13.3	2.15	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Damon Stoudamire	62	62	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	16.4	12.7	3.65	16.9	16.4	0.44
Rick Brunson	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	13	-11	3.5	15.5	-12.03	10.0	16.8	-6.81
Ruben Patterson	27	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	22	-29	18.7	13.8	4.91	16.9	16.6	0.29
Zach Randolph	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	1.0	15.4	-14.43	10.0	16.8	-6.81
Chris Dudley	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	22	-29	17.2	14.8	2.40	17.0	16.7	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 71, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIN 104, HOU 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
HOU 102, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%