NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	4.7 [911]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.7%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.7 [839]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -8.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.02	-0.03	22	56%	0.17	1	-0.00	10	90%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	12	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	11	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	5	73%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Devin Ebanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	10	77%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	11	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	17	60%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	49%	0.00	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	13	34%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	38.4	19.6	30.4	3.5	31.6	151.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.1%

LAL +10.0%

SAC -12.9%

LAL +8.5%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.5	116.7	105.3	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		108.8	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	13.2	15.7	18.2	15.7
SAC	16.0	15.1	13.6	13.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	64	62	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.01	24	-12	36	14.7	17.7	-2.92	15.5	12.5	2.95
Kobe Bryant	74	73	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.04	22	-10	32	14.8	18.7	-3.86	14.8	13.1	1.70
Pau Gasol	88	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	15.6	17.4	-1.82	14.7	11.1	3.62
Metta World Peace	52	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-6	24	15.2	16.3	-1.17	15.4	13.4	2.08
Lamar Odom	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-4	20	15.6	16.1	-0.49	14.8	13.2	1.57
Derrick Caracter	4	4	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	7	-2	6.5	16.1	-9.61	14.2	14.5	-0.20
Matt Barnes	49	51	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.28	-8	20	-28	16.4	14.9	1.51	13.4	15.7	-2.27
Theo Ratliff	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	17	-22	18.3	15.3	3.02	12.6	14.8	-2.19
Devin Ebanks	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	15	-18	18.4	15.6	2.84	10.4	14.7	-4.27
Shannon Brown	22	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.11	-10	22	-32	18.7	14.8	3.86	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Steve Blake	32	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.16	-12	24	-36	17.7	14.7	2.92	12.5	15.5	-2.95

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	37	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-18	24	13.6	15.0	-1.34	17.8	14.4	3.36
Darnell Jackson	12	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-17	22	13.6	14.6	-0.98	21.7	15.0	6.69
Samuel Dalembert	57	55	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.19	8	-20	28	13.8	15.4	-1.59	16.5	14.6	1.92
Francisco Garcia	62	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-22	32	13.1	16.9	-3.73	15.7	15.7	0.02
Jason Thompson	23	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-13	14	15.3	14.2	1.14	14.7	16.1	-1.45
Beno Udrih	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	-3	-6	14.4	14.6	-0.20	16.3	12.1	4.20
Omri Casspi	45	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.02	-16	4	-20	15.1	13.9	1.23	14.7	16.5	-1.81
Tyreke Evans	54	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	10	-32	15.4	13.2	2.15	15.0	16.7	-1.74
DeMarcus Cousins	38	41	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	8	-28	15.4	13.8	1.59	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Carl Landry	65	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.00	-23	11	-34	14.8	13.6	1.18	14.6	18.2	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 115, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
ATL 103, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.3%
SAC 113, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%