NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	85		Excitement	8.6 [158]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +37.5%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	22.9 [46]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -19.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.37	0.08	0.30	0.01	18	60%	0.45	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.08	0.02	8	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	31%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
Tyrus Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.10	-0.02	11	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Derrick Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sherron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.08,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	12	40%	-0.11	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.09

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	7	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	6	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	5	60%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.14	-0.02	17	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.02	17	42%	-0.02	5	-0.16	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	30.7	15.0	29.4	1.8	36.9	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.9%

CHA +43.5%

CHA +24.1%

NJN -4.0%

NJN -22.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.5	98.8	95.4	105.7
season	16.2	16.4		102.3	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	17.2	15.5	17.5	16.0
NJN	17.3	15.5	17.3	19.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	64	64	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.40	15	-13	28	15.7	16.6	-0.92	17.7	16.4	1.22
Stephen Jackson	76	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	-1	4	16.2	14.2	1.98	17.4	16.7	0.74
Nazr Mohammed	25	25	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-8	18	16.1	15.9	0.23	17.4	17.3	0.15
D.J. Augustin	55	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	16.0	15.9	0.13	17.1	17.8	-0.66
Boris Diaw	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	3	-4	16.6	13.1	3.55	17.3	17.6	-0.28
Shaun Livingston	33	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	3	-4	15.1	16.5	-1.45	18.4	16.6	1.75
Derrick Brown	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	1	0	13.3	16.4	-3.05	16.2	17.5	-1.32
Sherron Collins	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	1	0	19.7	15.6	4.09	15.4	17.5	-2.07
Tyrus Thomas	30	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	8	-14	15.6	16.2	-0.59	17.5	17.3	0.19
Gerald Henderson	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	8	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.74	16.7	17.6	-0.81
DeSagana Diop	34	34	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	11	-20	16.1	15.9	0.17	16.9	17.6	-0.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	38	36	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.11	0	-2	2	17.7	17.1	0.62	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Kris Humphries	11	9	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-3	4	21.4	16.7	4.61	17.7	15.8	1.91
Damion James	23	20	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-5	8	17.0	17.5	-0.51	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Derrick Favors	43	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.33	10	-12	22	16.7	17.9	-1.16	16.6	15.3	1.30
Johan Petro	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	2	-6	15.1	17.7	-2.61	13.3	16.4	-3.05
Jordan Farmar	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	5	-12	19.8	16.0	3.79	13.8	17.2	-3.36
Brook Lopez	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-8	14	17.4	16.8	0.64	16.4	13.6	2.85
Devin Harris	61	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.53	7	-9	16	16.7	18.8	-2.16	17.1	13.4	3.71
Troy Murphy	34	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	15	-32	16.8	17.7	-0.84	14.8	16.8	-1.93
Anthony Morrow	70	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-4	6	17.5	16.6	0.85	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Travis Outlaw	40	42	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	7	-16	16.4	18.1	-1.64	16.7	15.3	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0	92.4%
CHI 96, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.55,0.53,0	91.3%
POR 100, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.45,0.58,0	90.8%