NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	7.1 [379]		MVP	Michael Smith (WAS): +21.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	26.2 [27]		LVP	Matt Harpring (CLE): -15.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Smith	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	6	81%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David Vanterpool	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.01	8	67%	0.06	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.05	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.07
Jahidi White	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	58%	0.01	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.06	-0.09	-0.03	16	46%	-0.04	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	-0.00	11	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.09	0.02	17	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	9	55%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	8%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	8	37%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	24.3	15.4	23.2	1.8	38.4	127.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +14.5%

WAS +40.2%

WAS +23.0%

CLE -23.6%

CLE -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.5	101.1	96.5	100.9
season	15.2	15.3		98.6	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	16.1	17.9	14.5	16.3
CLE	16.0	17.4	17.2	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	47	45	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.55	15	-10	25	16.8	15.7	1.02	17.1	16.9	0.23
Richard Hamilton	63	64	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.44	16	-11	27	16.1	16.9	-0.80	16.5	18.4	-1.83
Jahidi White	62	61	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.41	15	-10	25	16.5	15.8	0.64	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Mitch Richmond	72	71	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.26	18	-13	31	16.4	15.9	0.52	16.7	18.3	-1.62
Hubert Davis	69	68	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.43	11	-6	17	16.7	14.7	2.06	16.7	17.9	-1.19
David Vanterpool	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	6	-7	16.0	16.3	-0.32	23.0	16.7	6.29
Mike Smith	6	6	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.09	-10	15	-25	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.2	17.1	-1.97
Christian Laettner	41	41	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.12	-10	15	-25	15.4	17.1	-1.72	16.9	17.1	-0.23
Popeye Jones	23	23	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.09	-12	17	-29	17.0	16.0	1.01	18.2	16.6	1.66
Courtney Alexander	47	47	-0.71	1.21	-1.92	-0.21	-17	22	-39	15.7	16.9	-1.21	17.6	16.3	1.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	28	26	0.58	-1.08	1.65	0.22	12	-17	29	17.1	16.9	0.16	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Robert Traylor	42	43	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.09	14	-19	33	17.4	16.6	0.74	17.3	15.3	2.03
Wesley Person	50	50	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.07	13	-18	31	17.7	16.0	1.72	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Jim Jackson	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	2	-9	15.6	17.8	-2.12	17.7	15.5	2.30
Chris Gatling	44	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.44	8	-13	21	18.5	15.4	3.07	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Chris Mihm	26	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	6	-17	16.7	17.1	-0.44	17.4	15.8	1.60
Lamond Murray	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-7	9	17.8	15.6	2.12	15.5	17.7	-2.30
Matt Harpring	36	37	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.42	-18	13	-31	16.0	17.7	-1.72	16.4	16.2	0.19
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	58	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.44	-19	14	-33	16.2	18.7	-2.54	15.6	17.8	-2.19
Andre Miller	60	62	-1.09	0.59	-1.69	-0.54	-19	14	-33	16.5	18.1	-1.60	16.1	16.8	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 85, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.41,0	92.4%
POR 100, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.71,0.45,0.58,0	92.1%
MEM 102, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.55,0.16,0	90.9%