NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	8.5 [200]		MVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): +27.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	10.2 [83]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -13.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.19,0.27	0.12	0.15	-0.01	12	81%	0.40	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.05
Eddie Basden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	56%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.02	16	51%	0.01	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.11
Andres Nocioni	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	12	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	14	53%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	17%	-0.12
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,-0.13	-0.13	0.07	-0.15	0.05	34	54%	-0.06	3	-0.07	12	67%	-0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	12	33%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	28.4	16.7	30.1	2.5	32.3	138.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.6%

LAL -4.5%

CHI +32.6%

LAL -16.8%

CHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.6	102.1	96.9	104.4
season	14.4	15.6		102.6	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.2	16.3	16.2	15.3	15.2
LAL	16.2	14.4	13.8	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	-1	5	15.0	16.0	-1.03	15.1	15.0	0.13
Chris Duhon	73	75	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-3	9	15.0	16.1	-1.12	15.3	14.2	1.16
Luol Deng	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	3	-3	15.4	14.9	0.43	15.1	15.1	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	69	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	5	-7	15.6	14.2	1.39	15.2	14.9	0.29
Andres Nocioni	52	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-9	21	15.4	15.0	0.36	15.6	14.3	1.32
Ben Gordon	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	-1	5	15.0	15.4	-0.39	14.1	15.8	-1.67
Michael Sweetney	63	66	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	15.6	14.5	1.06	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Eddie Basden	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	15.5	15.2	0.30	18.0	14.9	3.07
Darius Songaila	32	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	10	-17	14.6	15.6	-1.00	14.9	15.2	-0.33

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	29	29	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.20	10	-13	23	13.0	16.0	-3.05	16.0	14.9	1.12
Brian Cook	43	42	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-6	9	14.2	15.8	-1.60	16.4	14.3	2.09
Andrew Bynum	34	34	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-5	7	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.7	14.9	0.76
Laron Profit	38	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	14.9	15.2	-0.29	15.5	15.0	0.51
Devean George	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	14.8	15.2	-0.40	15.8	15.0	0.79
Aaron McKie	30	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-3	3	16.3	14.6	1.71	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Chris Mihm	62	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	2	-7	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.9	15.7	-0.76
Lamar Odom	60	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.4	14.6	0.86	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Kobe Bryant	92	90	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	15.1	15.7	-0.68	15.1	18.2	-3.16
Smush Parker	67	65	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.62	-13	10	-23	16.0	13.0	3.05	14.9	16.0	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.55,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 85, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.41,0	91.3%
UTA 99, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.91,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.69,0.74,0	90.6%
WAS 88, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.31,0	90.2%