NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	3.6 [1135]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +28.5%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.1 [801]		LVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.23	0.00	0.08	19	70%	0.16	0	0.00	9	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	12	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.34	0.03	0.08	19	82%	0.29	0	0.00	11	82%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	11	57%	0.05	6	-0.07	6	67%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	30.1	15.7	33.2	2.7	33.2	145.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.5%

POR -13.1%

POR -1.8%

CHI +0.1%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.5	106.5	120.9	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		106.7	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		99.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.3	14.7	16.2	15.0	16.3
CHI	12.9	16.0	15.0	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-11	10	13.2	16.5	-3.30	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Armon Johnson	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-11	10	13.5	17.4	-3.88	12.4	16.5	-4.07
Nicolas Batum	30	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-8	4	18.0	15.4	2.63	17.1	14.3	2.87
Fabricio Oberto	23	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-7	2	14.0	17.0	-3.07	13.0	16.0	-2.96
Rudy Fernandez	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-11	10	14.9	17.6	-2.74	14.3	16.1	-1.82
Dante Cunningham	42	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-9	6	14.2	18.0	-3.77	13.6	16.5	-2.83
Marcus Camby	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	18.8	13.9	4.95	15.8	14.6	1.18
Wesley Matthews	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	3	-18	15.4	16.8	-1.34	13.7	16.2	-2.46
Andre Miller	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	17.5	13.9	3.61	16.6	12.7	3.84
Brandon Roy	74	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-8	4	16.8	14.2	2.53	16.1	11.9	4.18
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	17.0	14.0	3.03	16.1	12.2	3.86

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-6	24	14.9	16.9	-2.00	16.3	16.0	0.30
Joakim Noah	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-2	16	14.9	18.4	-3.59	16.0	18.8	-2.85
Omer Asik	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-1	14	14.0	16.8	-2.84	16.6	15.8	0.73
Keith Bogans	28	27	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	-4	20	14.8	15.4	-0.61	20.7	14.4	6.29
Derrick Rose	66	68	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	16.0	13.2	2.71	16.9	14.4	2.50
James Johnson	25	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	7	-2	11.6	16.6	-4.92	13.5	17.4	-3.93
CJ Watson	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	9	-6	13.2	16.0	-2.71	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Taj Gibson	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	12	-12	17.3	13.7	3.53	16.7	15.9	0.77
Kyle Korver	40	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	21	-30	17.6	13.4	4.22	14.9	17.3	-2.36
Brian Scalabrine	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	15	-18	16.5	15.0	1.52	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Ronnie Brewer	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	18	-24	17.8	14.8	2.97	16.7	16.2	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 89, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIN 94, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%