NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	3.0 [1201]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (ORL): +5.8%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.2 [1155]		LVP	Michael Sweetney (NYK): -6.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	18	51%	0.07	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	12	50%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.07	17	67%	0.04	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	11	42%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	31.5	16.0	25.3	2.6	28.2	132.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.6%

ORL +6.4%

ORL +17.9%

ORL +3.3%

NYK -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.5	97.8	122.0	104.0
season	15.8	14.3		103.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		105.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.6	14.7	18.7	16.3	16.8
ORL	12.4	16.0	14.9	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	27	27	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-22	22	15.8	17.2	-1.36	16.4	14.2	2.12
Bruno Sundov	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	12.0	17.0	-5.05	15.3	14.8	0.49
Trevor Ariza	36	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	14.0	18.6	-4.58	16.1	14.2	1.88
Jerome Williams	19	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-24	26	20.6	15.7	4.88	16.8	14.4	2.39
Jermaine Jackson	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-21	20	19.6	16.1	3.47	16.1	14.6	1.44
Malik Rose	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-12	2	18.6	15.0	3.62	15.7	14.1	1.56
Tim Thomas	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-8	-6	16.3	17.1	-0.85	14.3	15.3	-1.09
Anfernee Hardaway	32	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-10	-2	18.4	15.9	2.48	15.0	14.8	0.24
Michael Sweetney	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-9	-4	15.1	17.8	-2.69	13.2	15.9	-2.62
Stephon Marbury	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	-1	-20	16.1	19.6	-3.47	14.6	16.1	-1.44
Jamal Crawford	56	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.16	-21	-1	-20	16.7	16.9	-0.28	13.9	16.5	-2.57
Kurt Thomas	71	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	-2	-18	17.1	15.5	1.63	14.6	16.0	-1.40

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	75	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.26	28	-6	34	14.3	17.4	-3.10	17.2	14.3	2.92
Grant Hill	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-5	32	14.2	16.5	-2.28	16.5	17.5	-0.97
Dwight Howard	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.38	27	-5	32	14.3	16.1	-1.77	17.1	15.9	1.20
Kelvin Cato	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-2	26	14.7	15.2	-0.48	17.6	15.6	2.01
Steve Francis	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	3	16	14.7	15.1	-0.34	17.8	15.0	2.87
Tony Battie	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	24	-26	15.2	14.7	0.48	15.6	17.6	-2.01
Pat Garrity	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	24	-26	16.1	14.4	1.68	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Hedo Turkoglu	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	25	-28	15.6	14.0	1.60	15.0	18.8	-3.83
DeShawn Stevenson	23	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	28	-34	17.2	14.1	3.07	18.2	16.3	1.91
Brandon Hunter	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	15.6	14.8	0.82	11.1	17.2	-6.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, MEM 128	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIA 84, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHI 82, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%