NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	4.1 [1022]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +11.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	1.1 [1200]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -6.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	20	48%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	14	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.06	15	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Greg Stiemsma	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	10	46%	-0.00	5	-0.06	6	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	18	60%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.11	4	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	12	46%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	16	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	29.1	15.4	27.4	2.5	27.2	126.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.4%

MIN -2.3%

POR +12.7%

MIN -4.6%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.4	96.9	112.4	104.1
season	15.6	15.8		101.3	104.3
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	14.4	15.6	13.6	14.8
POR	15.1	15.6	14.4	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	54	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-15	15	14.2	15.5	-1.27	15.3	14.4	0.93
Alexey Shved	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-13	11	15.5	14.4	1.14	15.6	14.5	1.12
Dante Cunningham	57	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-14	13	14.1	15.8	-1.69	15.2	14.5	0.67
Greg Stiemsma	29	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-7	-1	16.2	14.2	2.03	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Chris Johnson	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-3	-9	16.1	14.3	1.89	13.4	15.5	-2.08
Derrick Williams	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	14.3	17.2	-2.88	15.5	12.2	3.31
Luke Ridnour	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-7	-1	14.2	17.3	-3.06	15.4	13.0	2.37
Mickael Gelabale	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	0	-15	15.4	14.2	1.20	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Ricky Rubio	77	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	5	-25	15.1	13.7	1.30	14.0	18.2	-4.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-7	29	14.2	18.4	-4.25	15.2	12.9	2.23
Nicolas Batum	70	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	2	11	14.8	15.2	-0.44	14.5	15.6	-1.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	0	15	14.5	15.6	-1.03	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Eric Maynor	64	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	11	-7	15.2	14.3	0.96	14.0	16.3	-2.33
JJ Hickson	53	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	5	5	14.9	15.0	-0.09	14.9	14.6	0.25
Meyers Leonard	44	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	10	-5	15.0	14.9	0.09	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Wesley Matthews	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	5	5	14.8	15.0	-0.28	15.8	13.8	1.98
Victor Claver	28	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	12	-9	14.5	15.1	-0.52	15.7	14.4	1.28
Will Barton	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	19	-23	16.6	14.1	2.55	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Joel Freeland	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	18	-21	19.1	14.5	4.60	13.4	14.9	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, DEN 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
OKC 99, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
POR 98, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.6%