NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	7.4 [357]		MVP	JJ Hickson (CLE): +17.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	6.3 [120]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -17.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	0.00	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	44%	0.05	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.01	12	69%	0.12	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	13	39%	-0.13	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	8	45%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.06	0.02	11	75%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.02	12	38%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.07	0.03	14	47%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	15	42%	0.00	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	32.3	15.7	25.2	2.5	41.5	148.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.3%

CLE +5.1%

CLE +8.3%

CLE +14.6%

BOS -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	15.8	15.5	92.6	104.4	105.7
season	15.7	15.1		104.8	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.8		110.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.5	12.0	15.0	17.1	15.4
CLE	17.5	14.3	15.7	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	59	57	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-14	20	15.2	15.7	-0.53	15.3	16.6	-1.37
Von Wafer	14	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-9	10	14.8	15.4	-0.66	19.8	15.2	4.66
Ray Allen	70	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-7	6	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.1	17.8	-2.72
Shaquille O'Neal	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.04	-4	-4	0	15.6	15.1	0.48	16.3	15.4	0.86
Jermaine O'Neal	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-2	-4	16.5	15.0	1.56	17.1	15.4	1.77
Nate Robinson	26	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-1	-6	14.0	15.9	-1.92	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Marquis Daniels	34	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	16.3	14.8	1.52	16.7	15.3	1.42
Rajon Rondo	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-4	0	15.7	14.1	1.59	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Paul Pierce	67	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	3	-14	14.9	16.6	-1.69	15.2	17.3	-2.07
Glen Davis	64	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.4	-0.07	16.2	14.9	1.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	58	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	1	6	15.3	16.7	-1.37	15.0	15.9	-0.94
Daniel Gibson	50	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-3	14	15.9	15.7	0.20	15.7	14.9	0.75
Jamario Moon	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	15.0	17.1	-2.10	15.8	14.6	1.16
Anthony Parker	67	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	15.2	17.5	-2.26	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Anderson Varejao	63	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	0	8	15.1	17.2	-2.11	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Ramon Sessions	68	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	2	4	15.6	16.2	-0.57	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Ryan Hollins	28	27	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	8	-8	17.2	15.1	2.11	16.5	14.9	1.59
Jawad Williams	28	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	17.3	15.1	2.16	14.9	15.6	-0.66
Antawn Jamison	37	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	9	-10	17.9	14.4	3.54	16.3	14.7	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.52,0.31,0.63,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	91.0%
MIN 105, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	90.9%
LAL 89, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.98,1	90.9%