NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	7.8 [271]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +20.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	3.5 [472]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -27.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.08	0.05	23	65%	0.28	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.06	0.03	-0.04	-0.06	23	50%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	0.00	19	26%	-0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	24	62%	0.26	1	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	8	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	69%	0.15	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.01	12	62%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.02	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.0	37.0	18.0	33.2	3.4	47.5	168.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.7%

LAL +25.3%

LAL +5.7%

NYK -7.6%

LAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.4	101.1	109.9	104.1
season	16.2	14.9		107.9	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	18.2	15.9	17.5	16.8
LAL	14.0	13.1	14.7	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	25	25	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.03	11	-17	28	16.3	17.1	-0.78	15.6	14.0	1.67
Pablo Prigioni	10	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-10	14	18.6	16.6	1.96	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Ronnie Brewer	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-4	2	14.7	17.3	-2.54	15.3	14.2	1.07
Marcus Camby	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-9	12	15.5	17.1	-1.62	13.1	14.7	-1.61
Steve Novak	31	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	1	-8	18.1	16.2	1.87	13.1	15.0	-1.96
Jason Kidd	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-5	4	17.3	15.8	1.59	14.8	13.4	1.46
Tyson Chandler	76	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	3	-12	17.1	15.5	1.62	14.7	13.1	1.61
Raymond Felton	71	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	16.2	19.0	-2.82	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Carmelo Anthony	84	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	1	-8	16.7	18.3	-1.64	14.4	14.3	0.11
J.R. Smith	71	69	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.26	-18	12	-30	17.1	15.9	1.23	14.1	15.3	-1.17

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	83	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	14.4	15.0	-0.63	16.8	17.4	-0.66
Metta World Peace	70	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	0	6	14.8	13.1	1.67	17.5	14.3	3.18
Steve Nash	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	2	2	14.1	15.8	-1.68	17.3	15.2	2.10
Jodie Meeks	44	44	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	-2	10	13.1	15.7	-2.59	17.6	16.2	1.36
Dwight Howard	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	7	-8	14.6	13.8	0.74	17.7	14.2	3.43
Pau Gasol	63	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	4	-2	15.0	13.1	1.86	15.9	19.2	-3.29
Chris Duhon	18	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	4	-2	15.8	14.1	1.68	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Jordan Hill	17	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.09	2	4	-2	14.5	14.4	0.05	14.8	17.3	-2.57
Darius Morris	16	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	13.7	14.6	-0.90	14.7	17.3	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.9%
TOR 95, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	92.5%
CHH 76, PHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.96,1	92.2%