inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 98 Excitement8.0 [223] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +24.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder 94 Comeback36.5 [26] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -32.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.250,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.250.070.17-0.011962%0.344-0.099100%0.10
Arron Afflalo0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.001461%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Nene0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04-0.000.050.00750%0.081-0.04475%-0.00
Ty Lawson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Anthony Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Malik Allen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joey Graham-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00475%0.043-0.0800%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.050.001334%-0.091-0.02367%-0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18-0.10-0.060.032145%-0.045-0.141191%0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00387%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00760%0.101-0.07667%0.02
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.02-0.020.09-0.11-0.002158%0.043-0.061593%0.05
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.01540%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021434%-0.012-0.07425%-0.04
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.01714%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.21,-0.32-0.32-0.07-0.240.011952%0.007-0.32250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.22.726.015.833.22.538.4148.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +26.8%
DEN +5.9%
DEN +14.2%
OKC -1.0%
DEN +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game15.314.115.3100.095.9106.0
season14.415.0110.3106.2
opponent15.515.5103.1106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.918.216.312.315.3
OKC11.717.812.515.414.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arron Afflalo78790.90-0.401.290.4017-133014.717.5-2.8214.711.73.04
Chauncey Billups75770.68-0.180.850.477-31014.717.0-2.2814.214.00.11
Nene80790.64-0.140.770.437-31015.315.20.1114.114.5-0.42
Carmelo Anthony81800.53-0.030.570.4722015.016.5-1.4713.716.1-2.36
J.R. Smith61610.380.120.260.3804-415.115.4-0.2814.413.60.82
Anthony Carter13130.080.42-0.33-0.0031217.614.92.7217.213.73.57
Johan Petro31320.060.44-0.38-0.0331215.315.30.0013.314.5-1.22
Malik Allen2828-0.150.65-0.81-0.04-48-1217.414.42.9414.913.81.11
Ty Lawson108-0.260.76-1.02-0.09-610-1616.215.11.058.914.6-5.73
Joey Graham3333-0.350.85-1.21-0.09-913-2215.615.10.5313.514.4-0.93

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden42430.46-0.961.420.1610-142413.914.3-0.3615.215.3-0.16
Eric Maynor22210.08-0.580.660.11-1-3216.613.43.2314.415.5-1.11
Serge Ibaka2121-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-3215.813.72.0716.614.91.74
Nenad Krstic3434-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-1-214.813.81.0116.114.81.32
Kevin Durant9293-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.431-5613.721.5-7.8515.314.01.32
Nick Collison6261-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.420-4413.814.7-0.9314.716.2-1.50
Jeff Green8584-0.540.04-0.59-0.34-73-1014.114.6-0.5615.017.0-2.04
Russell Westbrook7677-0.580.08-0.66-0.49-3-1-213.416.6-3.2315.514.41.11
Thabo Sefolosha5656-1.010.51-1.51-0.54-1612-2814.613.60.9815.215.3-0.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 103, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.16,091.1%
NJN 84, CHI 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.9,0.42,091.0%
HOU 82, NOH 770.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.75,0.58,090.8%