NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	7.5 [359]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +28.5%
Chicago Bulls	80		Comeback	9.6 [90]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -39.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	7	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.09	-0.05	0.13	-0.02	5	33%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	11	61%	0.18	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,0.02,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	23	46%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jabari Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	0.02	-0.03	18	40%	0.02	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.17	-0.04	19	65%	0.38	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.07
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	9	86%	0.26	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	1	17%	-0.06	1	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.15	0.03	10	57%	-0.06	5	-0.20	8	50%	-0.09
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.39	-0.39	-0.21	-0.20	-0.02	7	24%	-0.07	6	-0.32	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	33.0	14.8	26.1	2.5	41.2	142.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +7.1%

CHI -3.9%

CHI -5.7%

NJN +57.0%

CHI -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.5	89.4	87.0	104.0
season	16.0	15.1		99.2	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	17.0	16.3	12.5	15.0
CHI	17.7	15.0	15.0	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	68	69	1.10	-0.60	1.71	0.40	24	-20	44	13.7	18.3	-4.57	16.9	13.3	3.51
Vince Carter	80	78	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-10	24	15.2	13.9	1.34	16.3	14.2	2.08
Richard Jefferson	83	83	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-8	20	14.6	18.3	-3.71	16.0	15.8	0.22
Jason Collins	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	-3	10	14.8	15.7	-0.95	16.3	14.6	1.70
Nenad Krstic	76	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-10	24	15.0	14.8	0.21	17.2	10.7	6.47
Jerome Moiso	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	2.0	15.1	-13.14	0.0	16.0	-15.98
Kaniel Dickens	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	12.0	15.1	-3.07	16.0	16.0	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	3	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	8	-12	17.3	14.9	2.41	13.7	16.1	-2.33
Rodney Buford	31	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.31	-15	19	-34	15.8	14.6	1.20	13.6	17.0	-3.36
Jabari Smith	24	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	12	-20	16.7	14.4	2.24	13.7	16.7	-2.96
Travis Best	30	27	-0.59	1.09	-1.67	-0.03	-19	23	-42	17.2	14.0	3.23	13.0	17.2	-4.16

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	44	48	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.25	11	-15	26	14.9	16.9	-2.01	15.7	14.3	1.40
Adrian Griffin	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-2	0	15.2	16.1	-0.87	15.1	15.0	0.12
Antonio Davis	46	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	0	-4	16.5	15.4	1.09	15.1	14.8	0.30
Chris Duhon	34	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.3	14.8	0.41
Eric Piatkowski	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-3	2	18.4	15.5	2.89	15.4	14.9	0.50
Andres Nocioni	47	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-3	2	15.1	16.9	-1.78	15.1	14.9	0.21
Tyson Chandler	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-4	4	15.0	17.5	-2.48	15.5	14.2	1.22
Kirk Hinrich	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-2	0	16.2	13.9	2.30	14.8	16.6	-1.72
Eddy Curry	81	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	16.3	13.4	2.97	14.8	16.5	-1.70
Luol Deng	43	45	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.64	-11	7	-18	16.8	15.3	1.53	13.8	16.1	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.9,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, OKC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	91.0%
BOS 104, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.26,0	91.0%
SAS 89, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.47,0	90.7%