NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	6.2 [550]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +34.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.2 [1202]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -16.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	9	59%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	17	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	17	45%	0.01	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Carl Landry	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.18	-0.01	22	68%	0.43	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.07	-0.01	21	59%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	31.5	15.7	25.2	2.6	28.0	128.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +63.1%

SAC -2.5%

SAC -4.0%

SAC -9.4%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.3	94.7	102.1	106.0
season	15.2	16.1		103.7	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	13.4	14.5	16.2	14.4
CLE	15.8	15.4	15.5	17.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-4	1	15.9	13.9	2.00	16.8	15.7	1.08
Dominic McGuire	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	-1	-5	13.5	14.5	-0.93	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Omri Casspi	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-9	11	14.5	14.2	0.30	16.2	15.8	0.39
Andres Nocioni	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-6	5	14.2	15.4	-1.21	16.0	15.7	0.33
Donte Greene	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.08	15.8	16.1	-0.26
Carl Landry	79	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	14.1	15.8	-1.74	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Jason Thompson	95	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.4	0.0	14.37	15.9	0.0	15.95
Beno Udrih	94	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	0	-7	14.5	3.0	11.49	15.9	24.0	-8.14

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	41	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-1	9	17.1	15.1	2.02	14.9	14.0	0.92
Antawn Jamison	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	15.7	17.5	-1.75	14.5	13.5	1.02
LeBron James	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-1	9	15.9	16.1	-0.14	14.0	16.1	-2.13
Anthony Parker	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-3	13	15.7	16.5	-0.82	13.8	15.6	-1.70
Delonte West	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	8	-9	17.0	15.1	1.92	15.1	13.7	1.39
Mo Williams	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	0	7	15.5	17.4	-1.91	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	10	-13	16.8	15.3	1.55	14.9	13.9	0.94
JJ Hickson	51	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	8	-9	14.8	17.2	-2.38	14.2	14.6	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
CLE 111, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	93.2%
POR 79, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.69,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.1%