NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	6.4 [526]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +7.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	1.4 [981]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -35.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	17	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	4	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Shawn Kemp	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.04	13	39%	-0.10	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.35	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.27	-0.10	-0.02	18	14%	-0.25	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	19	67%	0.14	3	-0.06	13	62%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	26	54%	0.03	0	0.00	11	91%	0.06
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	5	8%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	30.5	20.4	25.6	2.6	30.0	137.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.8%

LAL +18.4%

POR -1.7%

POR -0.5%

LAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.6	85.9	96.8	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		105.0	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	16.3	16.7	18.3	16.5
LAL	12.8	15.0	14.0	16.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-17	22	17.9	16.2	1.68	16.4	14.2	2.14
Rick Brunson	2	4	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-13	14	14.0	16.5	-2.51	18.0	14.4	3.62
Ruben Patterson	37	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-17	22	16.5	16.4	0.05	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Chris Dudley	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	14.0	16.5	-2.51	22.3	14.3	8.06
Zach Randolph	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	14.0	16.5	-2.51	22.3	14.3	8.06
Derek Anderson	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-9	6	17.0	16.0	0.91	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Dale Davis	66	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-10	8	16.2	17.0	-0.76	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Damon Stoudamire	82	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	16.3	17.8	-1.51	14.7	13.4	1.28
Bonzi Wells	68	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	4	-20	16.9	15.2	1.63	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Shawn Kemp	73	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	9	-30	16.5	16.3	0.24	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Scottie Pippen	71	69	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.07	-24	12	-36	16.0	18.0	-2.06	14.2	15.4	-1.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	81	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.01	24	-12	36	14.2	16.3	-2.06	16.8	14.3	2.56
Shaquille O'Neal	78	78	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-7	26	14.4	15.1	-0.64	16.7	15.2	1.47
Devean George	44	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	3	6	15.7	13.5	2.16	16.9	16.1	0.82
Lindsey Hunter	36	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	4	4	15.5	13.9	1.57	17.4	15.9	1.49
Robert Horry	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	3	6	14.8	14.3	0.53	16.6	16.3	0.30
Derek Fisher	59	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	6	0	13.8	15.8	-2.02	15.9	17.3	-1.38
Rick Fox	59	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	6	0	13.8	15.8	-2.02	15.9	17.3	-1.38
Samaki Walker	52	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	12	-12	14.2	15.0	-0.76	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Mark Madsen	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	26.0	14.4	11.59	13.0	16.5	-3.49
Slava Medvedenko	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	13	-14	14.2	14.5	-0.29	24.0	16.2	7.80
Brian Shaw	15	16	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.14	-18	30	-48	16.5	14.2	2.38	13.9	17.0	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.69,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
PHI 87, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
LAC 96, CHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%