NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	5.8 [620]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +14.7%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	1.4 [798]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -13.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pooh Richardson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.02	10	91%	0.18	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	18	51%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Duckworth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	8	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.07	-0.03	14	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	8	94%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.03	0.05	13	85%	0.17	3	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.03	8	72%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	23	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	21	44%	-0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	2.6	21.1	15.8	23.8	2.5	25.4	111.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +22.0%

LAC -5.2%

CHI +9.3%

CHI +22.8%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	17.6	14.1	15.6	105.5	125.3	104.4
season	15.8	15.5		102.9	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.1		99.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	18.3	18.9	16.8	17.6
CHI	14.2	15.1	15.4	12.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	23	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-15	12	16.1	18.0	-1.91	14.6	13.9	0.66
Darrick Martin	24	23	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-10	2	16.3	18.0	-1.67	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Rodney Rogers	69	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-4	-10	17.3	18.5	-1.24	14.3	13.3	0.99
Lorenzen Wright	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-9	0	17.8	17.2	0.55	14.4	13.7	0.65
Terry Dehere	40	41	-0.23	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-7	-4	18.0	17.2	0.78	14.9	13.4	1.53
Brent Barry	51	50	-0.26	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-11	4	17.2	18.0	-0.78	13.4	14.9	-1.53
Kevin Duckworth	10	11	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-13	8	20.1	17.2	2.85	14.3	14.1	0.21
Lamond Murray	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	-8	-2	17.4	17.7	-0.27	12.7	15.5	-2.86
Pooh Richardson	67	68	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-8	-2	18.0	16.3	1.67	14.3	13.5	0.82
Loy Vaught	75	75	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-5	-8	17.9	16.2	1.67	14.4	12.8	1.55

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	71	71	0.65	-0.16	0.80	-0.11	26	-8	34	14.7	12.0	2.61	18.8	13.1	5.65
Steve Kerr	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	5	8	13.0	16.1	-3.05	17.4	17.9	-0.53
Randy Brown	40	41	0.39	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	4	10	12.5	15.3	-2.74	18.0	17.2	0.80
Toni Kukoc	74	73	0.36	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	2	14	13.9	15.1	-1.19	17.5	17.9	-0.48
Jason Caffey	46	46	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	9	0	13.4	14.8	-1.32	17.9	17.2	0.63
Michael Jordan	55	56	0.17	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	11	-4	15.7	11.6	4.05	18.2	16.5	1.65
Bill Wennington	38	38	0.12	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	12	-6	15.1	13.4	1.70	17.9	17.3	0.53
Scottie Pippen	60	59	0.09	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	16	-14	14.7	12.8	1.89	17.2	18.2	-1.06
Dickey Simpkins	5	5	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	19	-20	12.0	14.2	-2.21	7.8	18.1	-10.33
Jud Buechler	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.03	-2	20	-22	10.7	14.4	-3.65	6.3	18.5	-12.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	94.0%
SAC 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1	93.0%
UTA 89, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%